Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Bukiryah vs Abha

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Division 1 2025/2026 Al Bukayriyah Club Stadium, Al Bukayriyah
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Al Daajani N.
21'
Bin Shuwayii K.
25'
Pinero F.

AI Match Summary

Abha in this Division 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Abha.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Al Bukiryah
30%
Draws
47%
Abha
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Abha

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Abha lately — more wins on the board than Al Bukiryah.
  • Win probability leans Al Bukiryah's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Al Bukiryah Clean Sheet 18%
Abha Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Bukiryah Abha
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 14
Draws 8 5
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 1.03 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 Division 1
Al Bukiryah vs Abha
1:2
Nov 27, 2025 Division 1
Abha vs Al Bukiryah
0:0
Feb 11, 2025 Division 1
Abha vs Al Bukiryah
1:3
Sep 16, 2024 Division 1
Al Bukiryah vs Abha
0:1
Jan 14, 2019 King Cup
Al Bukiryah vs Abha
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Bukiryah Compare

Top Goalscorer Ousmane Pato
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Abha Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Daajani N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Bukiryah 41 / 100
Abha 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Bukiryah Abha

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Abha let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Al Bukiryah's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Abha's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Bukiryah VS Abha
1 Goals Scored 0.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Bukiryah

(Home)
18 Sept
Al Taee
3 : 1
Al Bukiryah
14 Sept
Al Bukiryah
1 : 2
Damac
09 Sept
Al Jandal
4 : 1
Al Bukiryah
31 Aug
Al Bukiryah
0 : 1
Al Adalah
26 Aug
Al Bukiryah
1 : 1
Al Okhdood
Page 1 of 6

Abha

(Away)
13 Sept
Al Diriyah
0 : 0
Abha
09 Sept
Al Nassr
2 : 1
Abha
04 Sept
Abha
0 : 1
Al Ettifaq FC
28 Aug
Al Fayha
3 : 2
Abha
25 Aug
Abha
1 : 1
Al Khaleej
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Abha 34 24 5 5 64:35 77
2 Al-Faisaly 34 21 10 3 76:32 73
3 Al Diriyah 34 22 6 6 79:39 72
4 Al-Ula 34 21 8 5 72:33 71
5 Al Orubah 34 20 5 9 56:38 65
6 Al Jabalain 34 17 8 9 59:38 59
7 Al Raed 34 14 10 10 64:46 52
8 Al Zulfi 34 11 12 11 46:45 45
9 Al Taee 34 12 8 14 48:52 44
10 Al Wehda 34 12 7 15 52:58 43
11 Al Bukiryah 34 12 7 15 36:48 43
12 Al Anwar 34 10 11 13 53:54 41
13 Jeddah Club 34 9 12 13 34:51 39
14 Al Adalah 34 8 9 17 44:70 33
15 Al Jandal 34 8 8 18 34:60 32
16 Al Batin 34 5 7 22 39:69 22
17 Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia) 34 5 6 23 24:67 21
18 Al Jubail 34 3 5 26 28:73 14
Promotion - Saudi Professional League (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)