Sport Picks
Match Events
10'
10'
Afif A.
24'
24'
Mujica R.
Assist: Claudinho
25'
25'
Ali A.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-4. The second leg ended 1-4.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
30%
40%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Sadd
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Al Sadd come out ahead of Al Duhail on wins alone.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Al Sadd arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Al Sadd, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Al Sadd have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Al Duhail Clean Sheet 10%
Al Sadd Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Al Duhail | Al Sadd |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 33 |
| Wins | 12 | 21 |
| Draws | 8 | 2 |
| Losses | 10 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.43 | 2.7 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 5, 2026 Emir Cup
Al Duhail vs Al Sadd
1:4
Feb 26, 2026 QSL
Al Duhail vs Al Sadd
1:3
Sep 25, 2025 QSL
Al Sadd vs Al Duhail
0:0
May 10, 2025 Qatar Cup
Al Sadd vs Al Duhail
3:2
Feb 22, 2025 QSL
Al Sadd vs Al Duhail
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Al Duhail Compare
Top Goalscorer Soumare B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Al Sadd Compare
Top Goalscorer Afif A.
2 Goals Assists Leader Mujica R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Al Duhail 30 / 100
Al Sadd 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Al Duhail Al Sadd
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Al Sadd Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Al Duhail found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).
Defensive concern: Al Sadd conceded in 88% of 33 recent games.
Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Al Duhail stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Al Duhail VS Al Sadd
1.38 Goals Scored 2.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Al Duhail
(Home) 28 Sept
Al Shahaniya
1 : 3 Al Duhail
21 Sept
Al Duhail
2 : 0 Al Arabi (Qatar)
12 Sept
Al Duhail
1 : 1 Al Shahaniya
05 Sept
Al Rayyan
1 : 1 Al Duhail
29 Aug
Al Duhail
1 : 1 Al Arabi (Qatar)
Page 1 of 6
21 Sept
Al Duhail
2 : 0 Al Arabi (Qatar)
12 Sept
Al Duhail
1 : 1 Al Shahaniya
29 Aug
Al Duhail
1 : 1 Al Arabi (Qatar)
22 Aug
Al Duhail
2 : 0 Al Sailiya
05 May
Al Duhail
1 : 4 Al Sadd
Page 1 of 3
Al Sadd
(Away) 14 Sept
Esteghlal TEH
3 : 0 Al Sadd
10 Sept
Al Sailiya
3 : 6 Al Sadd
05 Sept
Al Sadd
4 : 1 Al Gharafa
01 Sept
Al Sadd
2 : 1 Al Gharafa
28 Aug
Qatar SC
2 : 6 Al Sadd
Page 1 of 7
14 Sept
Esteghlal TEH
3 : 0 Al Sadd
10 Sept
Al Sailiya
3 : 6 Al Sadd
28 Aug
Qatar SC
2 : 6 Al Sadd
06 Aug
Aris Limassol
1 : 1 Al Sadd
30 Jul
Trabzonspor
0 : 1 Al Sadd
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Shamal -
TBD -
Qatar SC -
TBD -
Al Sadd -
TBD -
Al Markhiya 2
Al Mesaimeer 1
Al Duhail -
TBD -
Al Waab 2
Lusail 0
Al Shahaniya -
TBD -
TBD -
Al Arabi (Qatar) -
Al Gharafa -
TBD -
Al Kharitiyath 2
Al Bidda 1
Al Ahli -
TBD -
TBD -
Umm-Salal -
Al Rayyan -
TBD -
TBD -
Al Khor -
Al Wakra -
TBD -
Al Sailiya 2
Muaither SC 1
1/8-finals
Shamal 2
Qatar SC 1
Al Sadd 2
Al Markhiya 1
Al Duhail 2
Al Waab 0
Al Shahaniya 0
Al Arabi (Qatar) 2
Al Gharafa 2
Al Kharitiyath 0
Al Ahli 2
Umm-Salal 4
Al Rayyan 2
Al Khor 0
Al Wakra 2
Al Sailiya 0
Quarter-finals
Shamal 4
Al Sadd 6
Al Duhail 4
Al Arabi (Qatar) 0
Al Gharafa 2
Umm-Salal 1
Al Rayyan 0
Al Wakra 3
Semi-finals
Al Sadd 4
Al Duhail 1
Al Gharafa 1
Al Wakra 0
Final
Al Sadd 1
Al Gharafa 4
