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Al-Hilal Omdurman vs Al-Merreikh Obeid

Sudan Sudan

Premier League 2025 Al Hilal Stadium, Omdurman
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025 game between Al-Hilal Omdurman and Al-Merreikh Obeid finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al-Hilal Omdurman.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Al-Hilal Omdurman
6%
Draws
4%
Al-Merreikh Obeid
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Al-Hilal Omdurman

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Al-Hilal Omdurman carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Al-Hilal Omdurman a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier League 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Al-Hilal Omdurman Clean Sheet 20%
Al-Merreikh Obeid Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Hilal Omdurman Al-Merreikh Obeid
Matches Played 31 27
Wins 17 9
Draws 9 3
Losses 5 15
Goals Scored 1.75 0
Goals Conceded 1 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 19, 2025 Premier League
Al-Hilal Omdurman vs Al-Merreikh Obeid
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Hilal Omdurman 85 / 100
Al-Merreikh Obeid 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Hilal Omdurman Al-Merreikh Obeid

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AHO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Difficult form: Al-Merreikh Obeid registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Al-Hilal Omdurman found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (31 games).

Al-Merreikh Obeid's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 27 matches.

Scoring Trends

Al-Hilal Omdurman VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Al-Hilal Omdurman

(Home)
30 May
Etincelles
2 : 1
Al-Hilal Omdurman
22 May
Al-Merreikh
1 : 1
Al-Hilal Omdurman
16 May
Police
1 : 1
Al-Hilal Omdurman
13 May
Al-Hilal Omdurman
2 : 1
Gasogi United
10 May
Muhanga
0 : 2
Al-Hilal Omdurman
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Al-Merreikh Obeid

(Away)
13 Feb
Hay Al Wadi
3 : 2
Al-Merreikh Obeid
08 Feb
Haidob Al Nuhod
4 : 0
Al-Merreikh Obeid
05 Feb
Al-Merreikh Obeid
1 : 3
Hilal El-Fasher
31 Jan
Zamala Ruwaba
1 : 0
Al-Merreikh Obeid
27 Jan
Al Fajr
3 : 0
Al-Merreikh Obeid
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Hilal Omdurman742115:414
2Al-Merreikh74217:514
3Madani74218:214
4Zamala Ruwaba73227:511
5Alamal SC Atbara72237:78
6Hay Al Wadi71425:87
7Al-Mergheni71334:96
8Al-Merreikh Obeid70162:151
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2026/2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)