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Al-Ittihad vs Malkia

Bahrain Bahrain

Bahrain Cup
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AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-2, with Malkia advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Al-Ittihad
6%
Draws
90%
Malkia
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Malkia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Malkia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Malkia a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Malkia arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Malkia, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Malkia have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Al-Ittihad Clean Sheet 20%
Malkia Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Ittihad Malkia
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 7 13
Draws 1 8
Losses 21 12
Goals Scored 0.5 0.5
Goals Conceded 2.75 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.75 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 27, 2024 Premier League
Malkia vs Al-Ittihad
3:1
Oct 14, 2023 Bahrain Cup
Al-Ittihad vs Malkia
0:2
Nov 26, 2021 Bahrain Cup
Al-Ittihad vs Malkia
2:1
Jan 20, 2018 Premier League
Malkia vs Al-Ittihad
3:2
Nov 19, 2017 Premier League
Malkia vs Al-Ittihad
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Ittihad 10 / 100
Malkia 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Ittihad Malkia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Al-Ittihad scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Malkia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 33 matches.

Malkia lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al-Ittihad VS Malkia
0.5 Goals Scored 0.5
2.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 38%
75% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Al-Ittihad

(Home)
30 May
Al-Ittihad
0 : 1
Al-Budaiya
25 May
Manama Club
3 : 0
Al-Ittihad
21 May
Al-Najma
2 : 1
Al-Ittihad
11 Jan
Al-Ittihad
1 : 5
Al-Ittifaq
24 Jan
Al-Ittihad
2 : 3
Al-Budaiya
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Malkia

(Away)
16 May
Sitra
1 : 0
Malkia
11 May
Malkia
0 : 2
Al Riffa
03 May
Bahrain SC
0 : 4
Malkia
28 Apr
Malkia
3 : 0
Al-Najma
18 Apr
Malkia
1 : 0
Al-Shabbab
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Shabbab541014:513
2Al Khalidiyah532020:411
3East Riffa52035:106
4Umm Al Hassam42024:146
5Tadamun Buri51044:103
6Al-Ittifaq40135:91
Promotion - Bahrain Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Manama Club541015:313
2Al-Hidd53118:110
3Bouri52126:97
4Ali CSC52038:96
5Al-Hala52034:76
6Al Reef50141:131
Promotion - Bahrain Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Riffa532016:611
2Malkia531110:410
3Al-Budaiya53119:910
4Al-Najma530210:109
5Sitra40043:100
6Al-Ittihad40042:110
Promotion - Bahrain Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Muharraq550017:315
2Busaiteen531110:510
3Al-Ahli520310:106
4Isa Town51134:84
5Bahrain SC41035:63
6Qalali41034:183
Promotion - Bahrain Cup (Play Offs)