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Al-Ittihad vs Malkia

Bahrain Bahrain

Bahrain Cup
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-2. The second leg ended 0-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Al-Ittihad
15%
Draws
85%
Malkia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Malkia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Malkia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Malkia a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Malkia arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Malkia, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Malkia have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Al-Ittihad Clean Sheet 20%
Malkia Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Ittihad Malkia
Matches Played 29 38
Wins 7 15
Draws 1 8
Losses 21 15
Goals Scored 1.24 1.24
Goals Conceded 2.28 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 27, 2024 Premier League
Malkia vs Al-Ittihad
3:1
Oct 14, 2023 Bahrain Cup
Al-Ittihad vs Malkia
0:2
Nov 26, 2021 Bahrain Cup
Al-Ittihad vs Malkia
2:1
Jan 20, 2018 Premier League
Malkia vs Al-Ittihad
3:2
Nov 19, 2017 Premier League
Malkia vs Al-Ittihad
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Ittihad 16 / 100
Malkia 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Ittihad Malkia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Malkia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Malkia lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Al-Ittihad's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Malkia let in goals in 63% of their last 38 matches.

Scoring Trends

Al-Ittihad VS Malkia
0.5 Goals Scored 0.38
2.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 25%
75% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Al-Ittihad

(Home)
30 May
Al-Ittihad
0 : 1
Al-Budaiya
25 May
Manama Club
3 : 0
Al-Ittihad
21 May
Al-Najma
2 : 1
Al-Ittihad
11 Jan
Al-Ittihad
1 : 5
Al-Ittifaq
24 Jan
Al-Ittihad
2 : 3
Al-Budaiya
Page 1 of 6

Malkia

(Away)
11 Sept
Aali Club
1 : 0
Malkia
02 Sept
Malkia
0 : 1
Al-Najma
27 Aug
Sitra
3 : 0
Malkia
16 May
Sitra
1 : 0
Malkia
11 May
Malkia
0 : 2
Al Riffa
Page 1 of 8

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Shabbab 5 4 1 0 14:5 13
2 Al Khalidiyah 5 3 2 0 20:4 11
3 East Riffa 5 2 0 3 5:10 6
4 Umm Al Hassam 4 2 0 2 4:14 6
5 Tadamun Buri 5 1 0 4 4:10 3
6 Al-Ittifaq 4 0 1 3 5:9 1
Promotion - Bahrain Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manama Club 5 4 1 0 15:3 13
2 Al-Hidd 5 3 1 1 8:1 10
3 Bouri 5 2 1 2 6:9 7
4 Ali CSC 5 2 0 3 8:9 6
5 Al-Hala 5 2 0 3 4:7 6
6 Al Reef 5 0 1 4 1:13 1
Promotion - Bahrain Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Riffa 5 3 2 0 16:6 11
2 Malkia 5 3 1 1 10:4 10
3 Al-Budaiya 5 3 1 1 9:9 10
4 Al-Najma 5 3 0 2 10:10 9
5 Sitra 4 0 0 4 3:10 0
6 Al-Ittihad 4 0 0 4 2:11 0
Promotion - Bahrain Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Muharraq 5 5 0 0 17:3 15
2 Busaiteen 5 3 1 1 10:5 10
3 Al-Ahli 5 2 0 3 10:10 6
4 Isa Town 5 1 1 3 4:8 4
5 Bahrain SC 4 1 0 3 5:6 3
6 Qalali 4 1 0 3 4:18 3
Promotion - Bahrain Cup (Play Offs)