Sport Picks

Iraq

Stars League

Al Kahraba

2 - 2

Al Gharraf

Our Tip

Match Events

Kuku K.

20'

Zakri Y.

(Penalty)

48'

Fawzi A.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Stars League matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%

Al Kahraba

39%

Draws

31%

Al Gharraf

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Form's been kind to Al Kahraba lately — more wins on the board than Al Gharraf.
39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 69%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%

Al Kahraba Clean Sheet 68%

Al Gharraf Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Al Kahraba	Al Gharraf
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	10	8
Draws	3	8
Losses	16	14
Goals Scored	1.25	1.25
Goals Conceded	1.63	1.25
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.63	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 19, 2026 Stars League

Al Kahraba vs Al Gharraf

Possession: 58% - 45% Cards: 1 - 1

2:2

Sep 21, 2025 Stars League

Al Gharraf vs Al Kahraba

Possession: 55% - 43% Cards: 3 - 4

3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Kahraba Compare

Top Goalscorer Aiad A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

Al Gharraf Compare

Top Goalscorer Kuku K.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Fawzi A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Kahraba 41 / 100

Al Gharraf 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Al Kahraba Al Gharraf

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAH Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Al Kahraba scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Al Gharraf let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: Al Kahraba remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Kahraba VS Al Gharraf

1.25 Goals Scored 1.25

1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25

75% Over 1.5 63%

75% Over 2.5 38%

50% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Al Quwa Al Jawiya	38	27	8	3	62:28	89
2	Al Shorta	38	24	8	6	69:32	80
3	Erbil	38	23	10	5	59:32	79
4	Al Zawraa	38	17	15	6	50:32	66
5	Al-Karma	38	17	14	7	53:26	65
6	Al Talaba	38	18	11	9	53:38	65
7	Al Karkh	38	16	12	10	51:41	60
8	Newroz	38	16	6	16	48:47	54
9	Zakho	38	14	11	13	49:45	53
10	Duhok	38	13	11	14	44:45	50
11	Diyala	38	13	10	15	40:42	49
12	Al Naft	38	11	15	12	33:34	48
13	Al Mosul	38	11	14	13	46:49	47
14	Al Gharraf	38	11	11	16	40:43	44
15	Naft Missan	38	11	10	17	48:57	43
16	Al Minaa	38	9	13	16	38:47	40
17	Al Kahraba	37	11	5	21	44:56	38
18	Baghdad	38	10	7	21	47:68	37
19	Al Najaf	37	6	5	26	31:68	23
20	Al-Qassim	38	0	6	32	21:96	6