Sport Picks
Al Kahraba vs Al Gharraf Prediction & H2H Stats
Iraq
Stars League 2025/2026 
Match Events
2'
2'
Kuku K.
20'
20'
Zakri Y.
(Penalty)
48'
48'
Fawzi A.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Stars League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
58%
30%
12%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Kahraba
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Al Kahraba lately — more wins on the board than Al Gharraf.
- Al Kahraba are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Al Kahraba Clean Sheet 68%
Al Gharraf Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Al Kahraba | Al Gharraf |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 6 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 13 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.32 | 0.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.43 | 1.41 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 3, 2026 Stars League
Al Kahraba vs Al Gharraf
0:0
May 19, 2026 Stars League
Al Kahraba vs Al Gharraf
2:2
Sep 21, 2025 Stars League
Al Gharraf vs Al Kahraba
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Al Kahraba Compare
Top Goalscorer Aiad A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Al Gharraf Compare
Top Goalscorer Kuku K.
1 Goals Assists Leader Fawzi A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Al Kahraba 68 / 100
Al Gharraf 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Al Kahraba Al Gharraf
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Al Kahraba Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Al Kahraba's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Al Gharraf let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.
Games between these two average 2.67 goals.
Solid form: Al Kahraba remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Al Kahraba VS Al Gharraf
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Al Kahraba
(Home) 19 Sept
Al Shorta
2 : 0 Al Kahraba
13 Sept
Al Kahraba
2 : 1 Al Minaa
07 Sept
Al Zawraa
1 : 0 Al Kahraba
03 Sept
Al Kahraba
0 : 0 Al Gharraf
29 Aug
Al Karkh
2 : 2 Al Kahraba
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Al Kahraba
2 : 1 Al Minaa
03 Sept
Al Kahraba
0 : 0 Al Gharraf
26 Aug
Al Kahraba
1 : 1 Al Karma
02 Jun
Al Kahraba
0 : 3 Al Karma
19 May
Al Kahraba
2 : 2 Al Gharraf
Page 1 of 3
Al Gharraf
(Away) 17 Sept
Al Zawraa
2 : 0 Al Gharraf
12 Sept
Diyala
3 : 1 Al Gharraf
08 Sept
Al Gharraf
1 : 2 Al Shorta
03 Sept
Al Kahraba
0 : 0 Al Gharraf
30 Aug
Al Gharraf
0 : 1 Ghaz Al Shamal
Page 1 of 6
17 Sept
Al Zawraa
2 : 0 Al Gharraf
12 Sept
Diyala
3 : 1 Al Gharraf
03 Sept
Al Kahraba
0 : 0 Al Gharraf
26 Aug
Al Minaa
3 : 0 Al Gharraf
16 Aug
Duhok
1 : 1 Al Gharraf
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 38 | 27 | 8 | 3 | 62:28 | 89 |
| 2 | Al Shorta | 38 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 69:32 | 80 |
| 3 | Erbil | 38 | 23 | 10 | 5 | 59:32 | 79 |
| 4 | Al Zawraa | 38 | 17 | 15 | 6 | 50:32 | 66 |
| 5 | Al Karma | 38 | 17 | 14 | 7 | 53:26 | 65 |
| 6 | Al Talaba | 38 | 18 | 11 | 9 | 53:38 | 65 |
| 7 | Al Karkh | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 51:41 | 60 |
| 8 | Newroz | 38 | 16 | 6 | 16 | 48:47 | 54 |
| 9 | Zakho | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 49:45 | 53 |
| 10 | Duhok | 38 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 44:45 | 50 |
| 11 | Diyala | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 40:42 | 49 |
| 12 | Al Naft | 38 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 33:34 | 48 |
| 13 | Al Mosul | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 46:49 | 47 |
| 14 | Al Gharraf | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 40:43 | 44 |
| 15 | Naft Missan | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 48:57 | 43 |
| 16 | Al Minaa | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 38:47 | 40 |
| 17 | Al Kahraba | 37 | 11 | 5 | 21 | 44:56 | 38 |
| 18 | Baghdad | 38 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 47:68 | 37 |
| 19 | Al Najaf | 37 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 31:68 | 23 |
| 20 | Al Qassim | 38 | 0 | 6 | 32 | 21:96 | 6 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League 2025/2026 (Relegation)
