Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al-Karma vs Duhok

Iraq Iraq

Stars League
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Othman B.
Own Goal
26' Event
Hussein A.
(Penalty)
72' Event
Hussein A.

AI Match Summary

The Stars League game between Al-Karma and Duhok finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al-Karma.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Al-Karma
6%
Draws
4%
Duhok
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Al-Karma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Duhok haven't matched Al-Karma's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Al-Karma's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Al-Karma have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Al-Karma Clean Sheet 68%
Duhok Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Karma Duhok
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 11
Draws 12 9
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 1.38 1.75
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2026 Stars League
Al-Karma vs Duhok
3:0
Sep 14, 2025 Stars League
Duhok vs Al-Karma
0:1
Jun 21, 2025 Stars League
Al-Karma vs Duhok
1:0
Jan 29, 2025 Stars League
Duhok vs Al-Karma
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al-Karma Compare

Top Goalscorer Hussein A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Duhok Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Karma 95 / 100
Duhok 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Karma Duhok

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al-Karma went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Duhok has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Al-Karma scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

Al-Karma VS Duhok
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al-Karma

(Home)
02 Jun
Al Kahraba
0 : 3
Al-Karma
27 May
Al-Karma
1 : 0
Diyala
19 May
Al Talaba
1 : 1
Al-Karma
14 May
Naft Missan
1 : 1
Al-Karma
10 May
Al-Karma
3 : 0
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
Page 1 of 6

Duhok

(Away)
20 Jul
Duhok
2 : 0
Tikves
01 Jun
Diyala
1 : 0
Duhok
27 May
Duhok
1 : 2
Al Kahraba
19 May
Al Naft
1 : 1
Duhok
15 May
Al Mosul
3 : 3
Duhok
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Quwa Al Jawiya38278362:2889
2Al Shorta38248669:3280
3Erbil382310559:3279
4Al Zawraa381715650:3266
5Al-Karma381714753:2665
6Al Talaba381811953:3865
7Al Karkh3816121051:4160
8Newroz381661648:4754
9Zakho3814111349:4553
10Duhok3813111444:4550
11Diyala3813101540:4249
12Al Naft3811151233:3448
13Al Mosul3811141346:4947
14Al Gharraf3811111640:4344
15Naft Missan3811101748:5743
16Al Minaa389131638:4740
17Al Kahraba371152144:5638
18Baghdad381072147:6837
19Al Najaf37652631:6823
20Al-Qassim38063221:966
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)