Sport Picks

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Al-Mabarrah vs Tadamon

Lebanon Lebanon

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Madi H.
58' Event
Bazzi H.
Assist: Vilanculos G.
62' Event
El Hourani A.
Assist: Ghamlouch M.

AI Match Summary

Tadamon in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tadamon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Al-Mabarrah
20%
Draws
70%
Tadamon
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tadamon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Al-Mabarrah have won more games recently than Tadamon.
  • Tadamon are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Al-Mabarrah Clean Sheet 23%
Tadamon Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Mabarrah Tadamon
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 6
Draws 9 9
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 0.8 0.87
Goals Conceded 2 1.58
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 16, 2026 Premier League
Tadamon vs Al-Mabarrah
1:1
Nov 8, 2025 Premier League
Al-Mabarrah vs Tadamon
0:3
May 3, 2014 Premier League
Tadamon vs Al-Mabarrah
3:1
Oct 27, 2013 Premier League
Al-Mabarrah vs Tadamon
0:1
Mar 31, 2012 Premier League
Tadamon vs Al-Mabarrah
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al-Mabarrah Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Tadamon Compare

Top Goalscorer Madi H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bazzi H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Mabarrah 10 / 100
Tadamon 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Mabarrah Tadamon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tadamon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al-Mabarrah's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Tadamon conceded in 68% of 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Recent resilience: Al-Mabarrah stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al-Mabarrah VS Tadamon
0.63 Goals Scored 0.5
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Al-Mabarrah

(Home)
03 Jul
Safa
4 : 0
Al-Mabarrah
29 Jun
Al-Mabarrah
0 : 7
Al Ansar
25 Jun
Al Hikma
4 : 2
Al-Mabarrah
21 Jun
Nejmeh SC
5 : 0
Al-Mabarrah
16 Jun
Tadamon
1 : 1
Al-Mabarrah
Page 1 of 6

Tadamon

(Away)
29 Jul
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
2 : 1
Tadamon
21 Jul
Tadamon
1 : 0
Racing
17 Jul
Tadamon
0 : 0
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
10 Jul
Racing
1 : 3
Tadamon
03 Jul
Tadamon
0 : 3
Al Ansar
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ansar 21 17 2 2 53:9 53
2 Nejmeh SC 21 14 4 3 42:10 46
3 Al Ahed 21 13 1 7 34:22 40
4 Jwayya SC 21 11 5 5 31:14 38
5 Safa 21 11 3 7 30:17 36
6 Al Hikma 21 9 3 9 29:27 30
7 Al Sahel 21 7 6 8 22:21 27
8 Al-Mabarrah 21 5 7 9 12:36 22
9 Al Riyadi Abbasiyah 21 5 5 11 16:30 20
10 Tadamon 21 3 8 10 12:26 17
11 Racing 21 0 1 20 4:61 1
12 Bourj 11 3 1 7 8:20 10
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Main)
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)