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Stadium Background

Al Masry vs Dekernes

Egypt Egypt

Egypt Cup Borg El Arab Stadium, Alexandria
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Bambo K.
(Penalty)
23' Event
Safwat M.
37' Event
Temine M.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-2. The second leg ended 4-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Al Masry
15%
Draws
31%
Dekernes
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al Masry

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al Masry come out ahead of Dekernes on wins alone.
  • Model gives Al Masry a 54% chance of winning this.
  • Al Masry have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Al Masry, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Al Masry Clean Sheet 68%
Dekernes Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Masry Dekernes
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 9
Draws 9 9
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.3 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 22, 2025 Egypt Cup
Al Masry vs Dekernes
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Masry Compare

Top Goalscorer Temine M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Dekernes Compare

Top Goalscorer Safwat M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Morsi M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Masry 95 / 100
Dekernes 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Masry Dekernes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Masry Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 6.00 goals as a typical output.

Al Masry found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Dekernes conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Al Masry went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Masry VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Masry

(Home)
31 Aug
Al Masry
0 : 1
Pyramids
27 Aug
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)
2 : 3
Al Masry
22 Aug
Al Masry
1 : 0
Smouha
08 Jun
Enppi
0 : 3
Al Masry
01 Jun
Al Masry
2 : 0
ZED FC
Page 1 of 6

Dekernes

(Away)
22 Dec
Al Masry
4 : 2
Dekernes
09 May
Misr Lel Makkasa
1 : 2
Dekernes
30 Apr
Dekernes
0 : 2
Abu Qir Semad
23 Apr
Gomhoriat Shebin
1 : 1
Dekernes
17 Apr
Dekernes
3 : 1
Makadi
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Petrojet 1
Wadi Degla 0
Modern Sport 1
Al Qanah 0
El Gouna 2
Asyut Petroleum 1
Pyramids 2
Masar 0
Al Ahly 1
WE Sports Club 2
Pharco FC 2
Telephonaat Beni Suef 0
National Bank Egypt 4
Bur Fouad 1
Enppi 1
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) 0
Zamalek 1
Baladiyat El Mahalla 0
Ceramica Cleopatra 2
Abu Qir Semad 0
El Gaish 2
Al-Sekka 0
Al Ittihad Alexandria 0
Kahrabaa Ismailia 1
Haras El Hodood 3
El Ismaily 1
Smouha 3
Ghazl El Mahallah 1
ZED FC 1
Alo Egypt 0
Al Masry 4
Dekernes 2
1/8-finals
Petrojet 2
Modern Sport 1
El Gouna 0
Pyramids 3
WE Sports Club 2
Pharco FC 1
National Bank Egypt 0
Enppi 1
Zamalek 1
Ceramica Cleopatra 2
El Gaish 2
Kahrabaa Ismailia 1
Haras El Hodood 2
Smouha 1
ZED FC 1
Al Masry 0
Quarter-finals
Petrojet 0
Pyramids 2
WE Sports Club 0
Enppi 2
Ceramica Cleopatra 0
El Gaish 1
Haras El Hodood 1
ZED FC 2
Semi-finals
Pyramids 4
Enppi 0
El Gaish 1
ZED FC 3
Final
Pyramids 2
ZED FC 1