Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Masry vs Zamalek

Egypt Egypt

Premier League 2025/2026 Borg El Arab Stadium, Alexandria
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Zemraoui O.
Assist: Mohsen S.
30' Event
Dabbagh O.
Assist: Juan Alvina
44' Event
Mansy N.
Assist: Fatouh A.

AI Match Summary

Zamalek in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Zamalek.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Al Masry
15%
Draws
61%
Zamalek
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zamalek

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Zamalek lately — more wins on the board than Al Masry.
  • Model gives Zamalek a 61% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Zamalek have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Al Masry Clean Sheet 21%
Zamalek Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Masry Zamalek
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 11 20
Draws 9 6
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 1.2 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.1 0.61
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 Premier League
Al Masry vs Zamalek
1:4
Feb 1, 2026 CAF Confederation Cup
Al Masry vs Zamalek
1:2
Jan 25, 2026 CAF Confederation Cup
Zamalek vs Al Masry
0:0
Jan 15, 2026 League Cup
Al Masry vs Zamalek
0:2
Sep 13, 2025 Premier League
Zamalek vs Al Masry
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Masry Compare

Top Goalscorer Zemraoui O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Zamalek Compare

Top Goalscorer Mansy N.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Dabbagh O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Masry 10 / 100
Zamalek 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Masry Zamalek

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zamalek Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Masry scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Zamalek let in goals in 48% of their last 31 matches.

Recent resilience: Al Masry stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Masry VS Zamalek
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Masry

(Home)
15 Sept
Al Masry
0 : 2
Al Ittihad Alexandria
07 Sept
Petrojet
2 : 1
Al Masry
31 Aug
Al Masry
0 : 1
Pyramids
27 Aug
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)
2 : 3
Al Masry
22 Aug
Al Masry
1 : 0
Smouha
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Zamalek

(Away)
16 Sept
Ghazl El Mahallah
0 : 1
Zamalek
12 Sept
Zamalek
4 : 0
Port
08 Sept
Zamalek
2 : 0
Abu Qir Semad
04 Sept
Port
1 : 2
Zamalek
31 Aug
Zamalek
2 : 1
Petrojet
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zamalek 6 4 1 1 7:4 56
2 Pyramids 6 3 2 1 10:6 54
3 Al Ahly 6 4 1 1 11:5 53
4 Ceramica Cleopatra 6 1 3 2 5:5 44
5 Al Masry 6 2 2 2 6:9 40
6 Enppi 6 1 3 2 7:9 36
7 Smouha 6 0 0 6 2:10 31
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2025/2026 (Qualification)