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Stadium Background

Al-Merreikh II vs Hilal El-Fasher

Sudan Sudan

Premier League Al Merreikh Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al-Merreikh II in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al-Merreikh II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Al-Merreikh II
6%
Draws
4%
Hilal El-Fasher
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Al-Merreikh II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al-Merreikh II lately — more wins on the board than Hilal El-Fasher.
  • Model gives Al-Merreikh II a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Al-Merreikh II Clean Sheet 20%
Hilal El-Fasher Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Merreikh II Hilal El-Fasher
Matches Played 17 30
Wins 12 9
Draws 4 11
Losses 1 10
Goals Scored 3.13 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 3.13 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Premier League
Al-Merreikh II vs Hilal El-Fasher
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Merreikh II 85 / 100
Hilal El-Fasher 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Merreikh II Hilal El-Fasher

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al-Merreikh II's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 17 recent games.

Defensive concern: Hilal El-Fasher conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Al-Merreikh II has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al-Merreikh II VS Hilal El-Fasher
3.13 Goals Scored 0.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Hilal Omdurman II770016:121
2Al-Merreikh II760121:418
3Hilal Alsahil732210:611
4Madani732213:1111
5Umm Mughad730410:159
6Hilal El-Fasher71244:75
7Hay Al Wadi71246:145
8Alfalah Atbra70072:240