Sport Picks
Match Events
11'
11'
Zoukh A.
72'
72'
Tamim H.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
30%
34%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Mesaimeer
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
66%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Lusail come out ahead of Al Mesaimeer on wins alone.
- Model gives Al Mesaimeer a 36% chance of winning this.
- Lusail arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Lusail, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Lusail have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Al Mesaimeer Clean Sheet 14%
Lusail Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Al Mesaimeer | Lusail |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 12 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 14 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.75 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.75 | 1.13 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 12, 2026 QSL 2
Lusail vs Al Mesaimeer
3:0
Nov 4, 2025 QSL 2
Al Mesaimeer vs Lusail
1:2
Oct 18, 2025 QSL Cup
Al Mesaimeer vs Lusail
1:1
Apr 10, 2025 QSL 2
Lusail vs Al Mesaimeer
4:1
Dec 6, 2024 QSL 2
Al Mesaimeer vs Lusail
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Al Mesaimeer Compare
Top Goalscorer Zoukh A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Lusail Compare
Top Goalscorer Tamim H.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Al Mesaimeer 35 / 100
Lusail 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Al Mesaimeer Lusail
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Al Mesaimeer found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).
Lusail has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.
H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.
Lusail's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Al Mesaimeer VS Lusail
1 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Al Mesaimeer
(Home) 30 Apr
Al Mesaimeer
1 : 3 Muaither SC
25 Apr
Al Mesaimeer
3 : 0 Al-Waab
12 Apr
Lusail
3 : 0 Al Mesaimeer
05 Apr
Al Khor
2 : 0 Al Mesaimeer
15 Mar
Al Mesaimeer
3 : 0 Al Bidda
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30 Apr
Al Mesaimeer
1 : 3 Muaither SC
25 Apr
Al Mesaimeer
3 : 0 Al-Waab
15 Mar
Al Mesaimeer
3 : 0 Al Bidda
03 Feb
Al Mesaimeer
0 : 0 Al Markhiya
12 Dec
Al Mesaimeer
3 : 0 Al Sailiya
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Lusail
(Away) 24 Jul
Den Bosch
2 : 1 Lusail
18 Jul
Dordrecht
5 : 0 Lusail
30 Apr
Lusail
1 : 2 Al Bidda
25 Apr
Al Markhiya
0 : 2 Lusail
12 Apr
Lusail
3 : 0 Al Mesaimeer
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24 Jul
Den Bosch
2 : 1 Lusail
18 Jul
Dordrecht
5 : 0 Lusail
25 Apr
Al Markhiya
0 : 2 Lusail
14 Mar
Muaither SC
2 : 2 Lusail
08 Feb
Al Khor
1 : 5 Lusail
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Rayyan | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 32:17 | 25 |
| 2 | Umm-Salal | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 26:17 | 20 |
| 3 | Muaither SC | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 21:13 | 20 |
| 4 | Al Arabi (Qatar) | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 27:16 | 19 |
| 5 | Al-Waab | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16:11 | 18 |
| 6 | Al Markhiya | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 13:12 | 18 |
| 7 | Al Sailiya | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 16:17 | 18 |
| 8 | Al-Shahaniya | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13:11 | 17 |
| 9 | Shamal | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 19:11 | 15 |
| 10 | Al Bidda | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15:14 | 15 |
| 11 | Al Khor | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 18:17 | 13 |
| 12 | Al Mesaimeer | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 18:17 | 13 |
| 13 | Qatar SC | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 23:23 | 13 |
| 14 | Al-Kharitiyath | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 19:20 | 13 |
| 15 | Al Ahli | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13:21 | 9 |
| 16 | Al-Duhail | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 4:17 | 9 |
| 17 | Lusail | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 15:26 | 7 |
| 18 | Al Wakra | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 17:22 | 6 |
| 19 | Al-Gharafa | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12:22 | 5 |
| 20 | Al-Sadd | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 18:31 | 5 |
Promotion - QSL Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - QSL Cup (Play Offs)
