Sport Picks
Match Events
11'
11'
Zoukh A.
72'
72'
Al Jabri T.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
41%
30%
29%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Mesaimeer
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Al Mesaimeer have managed 1.45 goals a game lately — Lusail are scoring more at 1.64.
- Model gives Al Mesaimeer a 36% chance of winning this.
- Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
- Historical meetings favor Lusail, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Lusail have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Al Mesaimeer Clean Sheet 18%
Lusail Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Al Mesaimeer | Lusail |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 9 | 9 |
| Draws | 7 | 8 |
| Losses | 13 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.45 | 1.64 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.59 | 1.68 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 12, 2026 QSL 2
Lusail vs Al Mesaimeer
3:0
Nov 4, 2025 QSL 2
Al Mesaimeer vs Lusail
1:2
Oct 18, 2025 QSL Cup
Al Mesaimeer vs Lusail
1:1
Apr 10, 2025 QSL 2
Lusail vs Al Mesaimeer
4:1
Dec 6, 2024 QSL 2
Al Mesaimeer vs Lusail
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Al Mesaimeer Compare
Top Goalscorer Zoukh A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Lusail Compare
Top Goalscorer Al Jabri T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Al Mesaimeer 36 / 100
Lusail 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Al Mesaimeer Lusail
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Al Mesaimeer found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).
Lusail has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.
H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Al Mesaimeer stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Al Mesaimeer VS Lusail
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Al Mesaimeer
(Home) 08 Sept
Al Mesaimeer
1 : 1 Al-Kharitiyath
30 Aug
Al Mesaimeer
1 : 2 Umm-Salal
24 Aug
Al Mesaimeer
1 : 0 Muaither SC
30 Apr
Al Mesaimeer
1 : 3 Muaither SC
25 Apr
Al Mesaimeer
3 : 0 Al-Waab
Page 1 of 6
08 Sept
Al Mesaimeer
1 : 1 Al-Kharitiyath
30 Aug
Al Mesaimeer
1 : 2 Umm-Salal
24 Aug
Al Mesaimeer
1 : 0 Muaither SC
30 Apr
Al Mesaimeer
1 : 3 Muaither SC
25 Apr
Al Mesaimeer
3 : 0 Al-Waab
Page 1 of 3
Lusail
(Away) 11 Sept
Al-Gharafa
0 : 0 Lusail
04 Sept
Lusail
4 : 0 Al Wakra
28 Aug
Al Ahli
3 : 3 Lusail
20 Aug
Al Rayyan
1 : 0 Lusail
24 Jul
Den Bosch
2 : 1 Lusail
Page 1 of 6
11 Sept
Al-Gharafa
0 : 0 Lusail
28 Aug
Al Ahli
3 : 3 Lusail
20 Aug
Al Rayyan
1 : 0 Lusail
24 Jul
Den Bosch
2 : 1 Lusail
18 Jul
Dordrecht
5 : 0 Lusail
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Rayyan | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 32:17 | 25 |
| 2 | Umm-Salal | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 26:17 | 20 |
| 3 | Muaither SC | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 21:13 | 20 |
| 4 | Al Arabi (Qatar) | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 27:16 | 19 |
| 5 | Al-Waab | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16:11 | 18 |
| 6 | Al Markhiya | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 13:12 | 18 |
| 7 | Al Sailiya | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 16:17 | 18 |
| 8 | Al-Shahaniya | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13:11 | 17 |
| 9 | Shamal | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 19:11 | 15 |
| 10 | Al Bidda | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15:14 | 15 |
| 11 | Al Khor | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 18:17 | 13 |
| 12 | Al Mesaimeer | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 18:17 | 13 |
| 13 | Qatar SC | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 23:23 | 13 |
| 14 | Al-Kharitiyath | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 19:20 | 13 |
| 15 | Al Ahli | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13:21 | 9 |
| 16 | Al-Duhail | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 4:17 | 9 |
| 17 | Lusail | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 15:26 | 7 |
| 18 | Al Wakra | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 17:22 | 6 |
| 19 | Al-Gharafa | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12:22 | 5 |
| 20 | Al-Sadd | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 18:31 | 5 |
Promotion - QSL Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - QSL Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
