Sport Picks
Al Minaa vs Al Gharraf - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Iraq
Stars League 
Match Events
8'
8'
Jafar K.
Assist: Habbassi H.
22'
22'
Abdulhussein A.
90'
90'
Qasim A.
Assist: Jaulu H.
AI Match Summary
Al Minaa in this Stars League matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Minaa.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
35%
34%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
31%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Al Minaa lately — more wins on the board than Al Gharraf.
- 31% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Al Minaa have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Al Minaa Clean Sheet 68%
Al Gharraf Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Al Minaa | Al Gharraf |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 6 |
| Draws | 12 | 11 |
| Losses | 10 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 0.97 | 0.87 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 1.23 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 26, 2026 Stars League
Al Minaa vs Al Gharraf
3:0
Apr 28, 2026 Stars League
Al Gharraf vs Al Minaa
0:1
Feb 13, 2026 Stars League
Al Minaa vs Al Gharraf
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Al Minaa Compare
Top Goalscorer Jafar K.
1 Goals Assists Leader Abdulhussein A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Al Gharraf Compare
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Al Minaa 41 / 100
Al Gharraf 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Al Minaa Al Gharraf
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Al Minaa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Al Gharraf let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 1.67 goals per match.
Al Minaa has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Al Minaa scored in 59% of their last 29 games.
Scoring Trends
Al Minaa VS Al Gharraf
0.88 Goals Scored 0.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Al Minaa
(Home) 05 Nov
Diyala
0 : 0 Al Minaa
29 Oct
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
0 : 0 Al Minaa
24 Oct
Al Minaa
2 : 1 Al Karma
16 Oct
Newroz
2 : 0 Al Minaa
10 Oct
Al Minaa
2 : 0 Ghaz Al Shamal
Page 1 of 6
24 Oct
Al Minaa
2 : 1 Al Karma
10 Oct
Al Minaa
2 : 0 Ghaz Al Shamal
18 Sept
Al Minaa
1 : 1 Duhok
09 Sept
Al Minaa
1 : 1 Naft Missan
05 Sept
Al Minaa
0 : 3 Al Naft
Page 1 of 4
Al Gharraf
(Away) 08 Nov
Erbil
1 : 1 Al Gharraf
31 Oct
Al Karkh
1 : 2 Al Gharraf
22 Oct
Al Gharraf
0 : 0 Al Naft
16 Oct
Karbala
1 : 2 Al Gharraf
09 Oct
Al Gharraf
0 : 0 Al Golan
Page 1 of 6
08 Nov
Erbil
1 : 1 Al Gharraf
31 Oct
Al Karkh
1 : 2 Al Gharraf
16 Oct
Karbala
1 : 2 Al Gharraf
17 Sept
Al Zawraa
2 : 0 Al Gharraf
12 Sept
Diyala
3 : 1 Al Gharraf
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Karma | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 23:10 | 30 |
| 2 | Newroz | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 18:5 | 26 |
| 3 | Al Naft | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 15:7 | 25 |
| 4 | Al Shorta | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 15:7 | 24 |
| 5 | Al Golan | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 19:12 | 23 |
| 6 | Al Zawraa | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 17:12 | 21 |
| 7 | Erbil | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 16:9 | 20 |
| 8 | Duhok | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 20:16 | 18 |
| 9 | Al Minaa | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 12:13 | 17 |
| 10 | Ghaz Al Shamal | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 9:10 | 16 |
| 11 | Al Talaba | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 15:18 | 16 |
| 12 | Diyala | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 15:18 | 14 |
| 13 | Al Gharraf | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 9:15 | 14 |
| 14 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 13 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 14:14 | 13 |
| 15 | Zakho | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 10:17 | 13 |
| 16 | Al Karkh | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 16:21 | 12 |
| 17 | Al Mosul | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13:21 | 12 |
| 18 | Al Kahraba | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 9:15 | 11 |
| 19 | Naft Missan | 13 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 8:19 | 9 |
| 20 | Karbala | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 11:25 | 7 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)
