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Al Muharraq vs Ali CSC Prediction & H2H Stats

Bahrain Bahrain

Premier League 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Juninho Piauiense
36' Event
Juninho Piauiense
52' Event
Simoes E.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2024/2025 game between Al Muharraq and Ali CSC finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Muharraq.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Al Muharraq
20%
Draws
40%
Ali CSC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al Muharraq come out ahead of Ali CSC on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Al Muharraq Clean Sheet 68%
Ali CSC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Muharraq Ali CSC
Matches Played 39 31
Wins 27 9
Draws 6 6
Losses 6 16
Goals Scored 1.95 1.19
Goals Conceded 0.62 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 2.04 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 26, 2025 Premier League
Ali CSC vs Al Muharraq
0:2
Feb 14, 2025 Premier League
Al Muharraq vs Ali CSC
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Muharraq Compare

Top Goalscorer Juninho Piauiense
2 Goals
Assists Leader Simoes E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.57
Avg xA / game 1.02

Ali CSC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Muharraq 41 / 100
Ali CSC 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Muharraq Ali CSC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Muharraq Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Muharraq's goal record stands at 85% scoring rate across 39 recent games.

Defensive concern: Ali CSC conceded in 81% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Ali CSC lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Muharraq VS -
2.88 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Muharraq

(Home)
15 Sept
Arkadag
1 : 0
Al Muharraq
10 Sept
Al Muharraq
3 : 1
Manama Club
04 Sept
Al Ittifaq
1 : 0
Al Muharraq
28 Aug
Al Muharraq
1 : 1
Al Ahli
06 Aug
ZED FC
1 : 0
Al Muharraq
Page 1 of 8

Ali CSC

(Away)
09 Jun
Al Hala
1 : 2
Ali CSC
04 Jun
Ali CSC
0 : 1
Bahrain SC
31 May
Ali CSC
0 : 0
Isa Town
26 May
Ali CSC
0 : 2
Al Muharraq
22 May
Al Khalidiyah
1 : 0
Ali CSC
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Muharraq 22 16 3 3 54:17 51
2 Al Khalidiyah 22 13 3 6 40:26 42
3 Sitra 22 10 8 4 33:21 38
4 Al Riffa 22 11 5 6 39:27 38
5 Al Shabbab 22 7 9 6 23:23 30
6 Malkia 22 6 10 6 23:27 28
7 Al Ahli 22 8 3 11 32:35 27
8 Al Najma 22 7 6 9 29:29 27
9 Bahrain SC 22 6 5 11 27:41 23
10 Ali CSC 22 6 5 11 26:37 23
11 East Riffa 22 4 8 10 21:31 20
12 Manama Club 22 2 7 13 15:48 13
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2025/2026 (Main)
Relegation - Premier League 2024/2025 (Relegation)