Sport Picks
Match Events
70'
70'
Abdulrahim M.
75'
75'
Kareem W.
AI Match Summary
The Stars League 2025/2026 game between Al Naft and Al Minaa finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
58%
30%
12%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Naft
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Al Naft come out ahead of Al Minaa on wins alone.
- 58% — that's where the model lands on Al Naft taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Al Naft Clean Sheet 68%
Al Minaa Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Al Naft | Al Minaa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 7 |
| Draws | 12 | 10 |
| Losses | 7 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 0.83 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.79 | 1.28 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 0.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2026 Stars League
Al Minaa vs Al Naft
0:3
May 14, 2026 Stars League
Al Naft vs Al Minaa
1:1
Jan 28, 2026 Stars League
Al Minaa vs Al Naft
0:0
Mar 29, 2025 Stars League
Al Minaa vs Al Naft
2:0
Jan 7, 2025 Stars League
Al Naft vs Al Minaa
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Al Naft Compare
Top Goalscorer Kareem W.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47
Al Minaa Compare
Top Goalscorer Abdulrahim M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Al Naft 77 / 100
Al Minaa 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Al Naft Al Minaa
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Al Naft Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Al Minaa has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.
Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.
Al Naft has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Away concern: Al Minaa has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Al Naft VS Al Minaa
1 Goals Scored 0.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Al Naft
(Home) 18 Sept
Al Mosul
0 : 1 Al Naft
14 Sept
Al Naft
2 : 1 Karbala
09 Sept
Al-Karma
3 : 0 Al Naft
05 Sept
Al Minaa
0 : 3 Al Naft
31 Aug
Al Talaba
0 : 0 Al Naft
Page 1 of 6
14 Sept
Al Naft
2 : 1 Karbala
26 Aug
Al Naft
1 : 1 Duhok
14 Aug
Al Naft
2 : 0 Al Karkh
01 Jun
Al Naft
2 : 1 Newroz
19 May
Al Naft
1 : 1 Duhok
Page 1 of 3
Al Minaa
(Away) 18 Sept
Al Minaa
1 : 1 Duhok
13 Sept
Al Kahraba
2 : 1 Al Minaa
09 Sept
Al Minaa
1 : 1 Naft Missan
05 Sept
Al Minaa
0 : 3 Al Naft
31 Aug
Erbil
2 : 0 Al Minaa
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Al Kahraba
2 : 1 Al Minaa
31 Aug
Erbil
2 : 0 Al Minaa
15 Aug
Al Zawraa
0 : 0 Al Minaa
02 Jun
Al Shorta
0 : 0 Al Minaa
14 May
Al Naft
1 : 1 Al Minaa
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 38 | 27 | 8 | 3 | 62:28 | 89 |
| 2 | Al Shorta | 38 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 69:32 | 80 |
| 3 | Erbil | 38 | 23 | 10 | 5 | 59:32 | 79 |
| 4 | Al Zawraa | 38 | 17 | 15 | 6 | 50:32 | 66 |
| 5 | Al-Karma | 38 | 17 | 14 | 7 | 53:26 | 65 |
| 6 | Al Talaba | 38 | 18 | 11 | 9 | 53:38 | 65 |
| 7 | Al Karkh | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 51:41 | 60 |
| 8 | Newroz | 38 | 16 | 6 | 16 | 48:47 | 54 |
| 9 | Zakho | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 49:45 | 53 |
| 10 | Duhok | 38 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 44:45 | 50 |
| 11 | Diyala | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 40:42 | 49 |
| 12 | Al Naft | 38 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 33:34 | 48 |
| 13 | Al Mosul | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 46:49 | 47 |
| 14 | Al Gharraf | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 40:43 | 44 |
| 15 | Naft Missan | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 48:57 | 43 |
| 16 | Al Minaa | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 38:47 | 40 |
| 17 | Al Kahraba | 37 | 11 | 5 | 21 | 44:56 | 38 |
| 18 | Baghdad | 38 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 47:68 | 37 |
| 19 | Al Najaf | 37 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 31:68 | 23 |
| 20 | Al-Qassim | 38 | 0 | 6 | 32 | 21:96 | 6 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League 2025/2026 (Relegation)
