Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Najma vs Al Hazem Rass

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Saudi Professional League King Abdullah Sports City Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Najma play Al Hazem Rass in the Saudi Professional League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Al Najma averaged 0.93 goals scored and 2.13 conceded. Al Hazem Rass averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.83 conceded. In past meetings, Al Najma won 2, Al Hazem Rass won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 9, 2026 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Al Najma and 1.94 for Al Hazem Rass. This points to a Al Hazem Rass double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Al Najma
22%
Draws
54%
Al Hazem Rass
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Al Hazem Rass

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

83% / High Confidence
  • Al Najma picked up more points recently compared to Al Hazem Rass.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.19 vs 1.94 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 66%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 85%
Over 2.5 Goals 66%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Al Najma Clean Sheet 10%
Al Hazem Rass Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Najma Al Hazem Rass
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 3 10
Draws 7 7
Losses 20 13
Goals Scored 0.93 1.2
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.63 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Najma vs Al Hazem Rass
2:2
Jan 12, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Hazem Rass vs Al Najma
3:2
Apr 8, 2025 Division 1
Al Hazem Rass vs Al Najma
0:2
Nov 25, 2024 Division 1
Al Najma vs Al Hazem Rass
2:1
Apr 12, 2013 Division 1
Al Hazem Rass vs Al Najma
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Najma Compare

Top Goalscorer Felippe Cardoso
1 Goals
Assists Leader Al Haleel N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Al Hazem Rass Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Somah O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Al Dhuwayhi A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Najma 24 / 100
Al Hazem Rass 51 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Najma Al Hazem Rass

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Hazem Rass Win (2)
Secondary Pick Al Hazem Rass & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +50%
6.25
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.2%
1.67
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Al Najma attacking → ← attacking Al Hazem Rass

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Najma scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Al Hazem Rass let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Al Najma went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Al Hazem Rass lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

16 Points in last 5 37
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
2.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Al Nassr34282491:2886
2Al Hilal34259085:2784
3Al Ahli SC34256371:2581
4Al Qadsiah34238383:3477
5Al Ittihad341671155:4855
6Al Taawon341581159:4653
7Al Ettifaq FC341481251:5550
8Neom SC341291343:4845
9Al Hazem Rass341191438:5742
10Al Fayha341081641:5438
11Al Fateh349101541:5537
12Al Khaleej341071754:6237
13Al Shabab348111544:5735
14Al Kholood34961939:6133
15Al Riyadh34791835:6330
16Damac346111732:5529
17Al Okhdood34552427:7020
18Al Najma34372432:7616