Sport Picks
Al Nasr vs Al-Afreeki
Libya
Premier League 2025/2026 Martyrs of February Stadium, Benghazi 
AI Match Summary
The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Al Nasr and Al-Afreeki finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Nasr.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al Nasr
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Al Nasr come out ahead of Al-Afreeki on wins alone.
- Al Nasr are the model's pick here, at 70%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Al Nasr have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Al Nasr Clean Sheet 20%
Al-Afreeki Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Al Nasr | Al-Afreeki |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 19 |
| Wins | 18 | 7 |
| Draws | 10 | 2 |
| Losses | 5 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.58 | 1.74 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.91 | 1.53 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 15, 2026 Premier League
Al-Afreeki vs Al Nasr
1:2
Mar 12, 2026 Premier League
Al Nasr vs Al-Afreeki
2:0
Jan 7, 2026 Premier League
Al-Afreeki vs Al Nasr
0:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Al Nasr 67 / 100
Al-Afreeki 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Al Nasr Al-Afreeki
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Al Nasr Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Al Nasr's goal record stands at 88% scoring rate across 33 recent games.
Away concern: Al-Afreeki has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.
Al-Afreeki's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 19 matches.
H2H data points to 2.33 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Al Nasr VS Al-Afreeki
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Al Nasr
(Home) 06 Jun
Asswehly
2 : 1 Al Nasr
23 May
Al Nasr
2 : 1 Military Union
19 May
Al Nasr
1 : 0 Al Ahly Benghazi
15 May
Al-Afreeki
1 : 2 Al Nasr
11 May
Al Hilal Benghazi
2 : 3 Al Nasr
Page 1 of 7
23 May
Al Nasr
2 : 1 Military Union
19 May
Al Nasr
1 : 0 Al Ahly Benghazi
22 Apr
Al Nasr
0 : 0 Al Akhdar
12 Mar
Al Nasr
2 : 0 Al-Afreeki
28 Feb
Al Nasr
1 : 1 Al Tahaddi
Page 1 of 3
Al-Afreeki
(Away) 23 May
Al-Afreeki
1 : 4 Al Ahly Benghazi
19 May
Al-Afreeki
2 : 3 Al Akhdar
15 May
Al-Afreeki
1 : 2 Al Nasr
11 May
Al-Afreeki
0 : 1 Military Union
07 May
Al-Afreeki
0 : 1 Al Hilal Benghazi
Page 1 of 4
16 Apr
Al Akhdar
1 : 0 Al-Afreeki
12 Mar
Al Nasr
2 : 0 Al-Afreeki
07 Mar
Wefaq Ajdabiya
1 : 2 Al-Afreeki
22 Feb
Al Tahaddi
2 : 2 Al-Afreeki
04 Feb
Al Murooj SC
1 : 2 Al-Afreeki
Page 1 of 2
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Ahly Tripoli | 18 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 47:9 | 47 |
| 2 | Asswehly | 18 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 35:9 | 43 |
| 3 | Al Madina | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 23:22 | 28 |
| 4 | Al Watan | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 14:18 | 23 |
| 5 | Assabah | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 12:18 | 22 |
| 6 | Al Malaab El Libby | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 15:21 | 20 |
| 7 | Al-Khmes | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 19:31 | 20 |
| 8 | Al Qadisiyah | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 11:24 | 19 |
| 9 | Al Dahra | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 20:27 | 14 |
| 10 | Abu Salim | 18 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 13:30 | 13 |
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Ittihad | 16 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 35:9 | 42 |
| 2 | Olympic Azzaweya | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 25:11 | 31 |
| 3 | Al Ittihad Misurata | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 21:11 | 27 |
| 4 | Al-Majd | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 14:13 | 23 |
| 5 | Al Shomooa | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 24:19 | 22 |
| 6 | Shabab Al-Ghar | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 17:27 | 18 |
| 7 | Al Tirsana | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 15:23 | 16 |
| 8 | Ittihad Gharyan | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 10:25 | 10 |
| 9 | Abi Al Ashar | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 9:32 | 6 |
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Military Union | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 26:9 | 35 |
| 2 | Al Hilal Benghazi | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 20:11 | 34 |
| 3 | Al Ahly Benghazi | 16 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 23:6 | 33 |
| 4 | Al Taawun | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 19:14 | 26 |
| 5 | Darnes | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 16:16 | 20 |
| 6 | Al Sadaqa | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 16:17 | 19 |
| 7 | Al-Anwar | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 12:23 | 11 |
| 8 | Al Borouq | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 7:21 | 10 |
| 9 | Al-Suqoor | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 13:35 | 6 |
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Nasr | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 28:7 | 35 |
| 2 | Al Akhdar | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 16:9 | 28 |
| 3 | Al-Afreeki | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 29:18 | 23 |
| 4 | Al Tahaddi | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 21:14 | 21 |
| 5 | Khaleej Sirte | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 25:22 | 19 |
| 6 | Wefaq Ajdabiya | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 13:17 | 18 |
| 7 | Al Murooj SC | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 16:24 | 13 |
| 8 | Al-Andalus | 14 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 1:38 | 0 |
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
