Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Nasr vs Al-Afreeki

Libya Libya

Premier League Martyrs of February Stadium, Benghazi
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Al Nasr and Al-Afreeki finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Nasr.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Al Nasr
17%
Draws
13%
Al-Afreeki
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Al Nasr

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al Nasr come out ahead of Al-Afreeki on wins alone.
  • Al Nasr are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Al Nasr have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Al Nasr Clean Sheet 20%
Al-Afreeki Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Nasr Al-Afreeki
Matches Played 32 19
Wins 18 7
Draws 9 2
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 1.63 1.75
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2026 Premier League
Al-Afreeki vs Al Nasr
1:2
Mar 12, 2026 Premier League
Al Nasr vs Al-Afreeki
2:0
Jan 7, 2026 Premier League
Al-Afreeki vs Al Nasr
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Nasr 67 / 100
Al-Afreeki 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Nasr Al-Afreeki

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Nasr's goal record stands at 88% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Away concern: Al-Afreeki has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Al-Afreeki's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 19 matches.

H2H data points to 2.33 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Al Nasr VS Al-Afreeki
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Nasr

(Home)
06 Jun
Asswehly
2 : 1
Al Nasr
23 May
Al Nasr
2 : 1
Military Union
19 May
Al Nasr
1 : 0
Al Ahly Benghazi
15 May
Al-Afreeki
1 : 2
Al Nasr
11 May
Al Hilal Benghazi
2 : 3
Al Nasr
Page 1 of 7

Al-Afreeki

(Away)
23 May
Al-Afreeki
1 : 4
Al Ahly Benghazi
19 May
Al-Afreeki
2 : 3
Al Akhdar
15 May
Al-Afreeki
1 : 2
Al Nasr
11 May
Al-Afreeki
0 : 1
Military Union
07 May
Al-Afreeki
0 : 1
Al Hilal Benghazi
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Ahly Tripoli18152147:947
2Asswehly18134135:943
3Al Madina1884623:2228
4Al Watan1865714:1823
5Assabah1864812:1822
6Al Malaab El Libby1855815:2120
7Al-Khmes1855819:3120
8Al Qadisiyah18621011:2419
9Al Dahra18351020:2714
10Abu Salim18341113:3013
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Ittihad16133035:942
2Olympic Azzaweya1694325:1131
3Al Ittihad Misurata1676321:1127
4Al-Majd1665514:1323
5Al Shomooa1664624:1922
6Shabab Al-Ghar1646617:2718
7Al Tirsana1637615:2316
8Ittihad Gharyan16241010:2510
9Abi Al Ashar1613129:326
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Military Union16105126:935
2Al Hilal Benghazi16104220:1134
3Al Ahly Benghazi1696123:633
4Al Taawun1675419:1426
5Darnes1655616:1620
6Al Sadaqa1654716:1719
7Al-Anwar1618712:2311
8Al Borouq1624107:2110
9Al-Suqoor16131213:356
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Nasr14112128:735
2Al Akhdar1484216:928
3Al-Afreeki1472529:1823
4Al Tahaddi1456321:1421
5Khaleej Sirte1454525:2219
6Wefaq Ajdabiya1453613:1718
7Al Murooj SC1441916:2413
8Al-Andalus1400141:380
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)