Sport Picks

Saudi Arabia

Saudi Professional League King Saud University Stadium

Al Nassr

1 - 1

Al Hilal

Our Tip

Match Events

21'

Al Hassan A.

25'

Al Amri A.

29'

Tambakti H.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Saudi Professional League game between Al Nassr and Al Hilal finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Al Nassr

30%

Draws

34%

Al Hilal

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Nassr

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Al Nassr carry the better recent record into this one.
36% — that's where the model lands on Al Nassr taking it.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%

Al Nassr Clean Sheet 13%

Al Hilal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Al Nassr	Al Hilal
Matches Played	33	34
Wins	26	25
Draws	2	8
Losses	5	1
Goals Scored	2.5	2.5
Goals Conceded	0.88	1.13
Expected Goals (xG)	2.50	2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2026 Saudi Professional League

Al Nassr vs Al Hilal

Possession: 49% - 52% Cards: 4 - 1

1:1

Jan 12, 2026 Saudi Professional League

Al Hilal vs Al Nassr

Possession: 42% - 57% Cards: 1 - 2

3:1

Apr 4, 2025 Saudi Professional League

Al Hilal vs Al Nassr

Possession: 47% - 49% Cards: 2 - 4

1:3

Nov 1, 2024 Saudi Professional League

Al Nassr vs Al Hilal

Possession: 57% - 48% Cards: 0 - 0

1:1

Aug 17, 2024 Super Cup

Al Nassr vs Al Hilal

Possession: 60% - 50% Cards: 2 - 1

1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Nassr Compare

Top Goalscorer Simakan M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.92

Avg xA / game 1.25

Al Hilal Compare

Avg xG / game 2.27

Avg xA / game 1.39

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Nassr 35 / 100

Al Hilal 33 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Al Nassr Al Hilal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Nassr found the back of the net in 97% of recent matches (33 games).

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Al Nassr stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Al Hilal let in goals in 59% of their last 34 matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Nassr VS Al Hilal

2.5 Goals Scored 2.5

0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13

88% Over 1.5 88%

50% Over 2.5 75%

50% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Al Nassr	34	28	2	4	91:28	86
2	Al Hilal	34	25	9	0	85:27	84
3	Al Ahli SC	34	25	6	3	71:25	81
4	Al Qadsiah	34	23	8	3	83:34	77
5	Al Ittihad	34	16	7	11	55:48	55
6	Al Taawon	34	15	8	11	59:46	53
7	Al Ettifaq FC	34	14	8	12	51:55	50
8	Neom SC	34	12	9	13	43:48	45
9	Al Hazem Rass	34	11	9	14	38:57	42
10	Al Fayha	34	10	8	16	41:54	38
11	Al Fateh	34	9	10	15	41:55	37
12	Al Khaleej	34	10	7	17	54:62	37
13	Al Shabab	34	8	11	15	44:57	35
14	Al Kholood	34	9	6	19	39:61	33
15	Al Riyadh	34	7	9	18	35:63	30
16	Damac	34	6	11	17	32:55	29
17	Al Okhdood	34	5	5	24	27:70	20
18	Al Najma	34	3	7	24	32:76	16