Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Orubah vs Abha

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Division 1 2025/2026 Al-Jouf University Stadium, Sakakah
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Al Hujaili A.
Assist: Gonzalez D.
35'
Al Maqati H.
41'
Sub
Al Hujaili A. In: Al Sultan A.
Out: Al Hujaili A.

AI Match Summary

Abha in this Division 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Abha.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Al Orubah
35%
Draws
14%
Abha
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Orubah

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al Orubah lately — more wins on the board than Abha.
  • Model gives Al Orubah a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Al Orubah Clean Sheet 68%
Abha Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Orubah Abha
Matches Played 33 33
Wins 17 16
Draws 6 6
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.42 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.09 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 King Cup
Al Orubah vs Abha
1:0
Feb 3, 2026 Division 1
Al Orubah vs Abha
1:2
Sep 28, 2025 Division 1
Abha vs Al Orubah
2:3
Mar 27, 2019 Division 1
Abha vs Al Orubah
1:1
Nov 7, 2018 Division 1
Al Orubah vs Abha
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Orubah Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Hujaili A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Abha Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Daajani N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Orubah 95 / 100
Abha 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Orubah Abha

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Orubah Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Orubah went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Al Orubah found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (33 games).

Abha has conceded goals in 79% of their last 33 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Al Orubah VS Abha
1.13 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Orubah

(Home)
20 Sept
Al Jabalain
0 : 0
Al Orubah
15 Sept
Al Orubah
1 : 0
Al Jeel
09 Sept
Jeddah Club
2 : 2
Al Orubah
01 Sept
Al Orubah
1 : 1
Al Zulfi
28 Aug
Damac
0 : 0
Al Orubah
Page 1 of 7

Abha

(Away)
13 Sept
Al Diriyah
0 : 0
Abha
09 Sept
Al Nassr
2 : 1
Abha
04 Sept
Abha
0 : 1
Al Ettifaq FC
28 Aug
Al Fayha
3 : 2
Abha
25 Aug
Abha
1 : 1
Al Khaleej
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Abha 34 24 5 5 64:35 77
2 Al-Faisaly 34 21 10 3 76:32 73
3 Al Diriyah 34 22 6 6 79:39 72
4 Al-Ula 34 21 8 5 72:33 71
5 Al Orubah 34 20 5 9 56:38 65
6 Al Jabalain 34 17 8 9 59:38 59
7 Al Raed 34 14 10 10 64:46 52
8 Al Zulfi 34 11 12 11 46:45 45
9 Al Taee 34 12 8 14 48:52 44
10 Al Wehda 34 12 7 15 52:58 43
11 Al Bukiryah 34 12 7 15 36:48 43
12 Al Anwar 34 10 11 13 53:54 41
13 Jeddah Club 34 9 12 13 34:51 39
14 Al Adalah 34 8 9 17 44:70 33
15 Al Jandal 34 8 8 18 34:60 32
16 Al Batin 34 5 7 22 39:69 22
17 Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia) 34 5 6 23 24:67 21
18 Al Jubail 34 3 5 26 28:73 14
Promotion - Saudi Professional League (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)