Sport Picks
Al Qadsiah vs Al Shabab
Saudi Arabia
Saudi Professional League 2025/2026 Prince Saud bin Jalawi Stadium, Dammam 
Match Events
16'
16'
Bonsu Baah C.
Assist: Retegui M.
35'
35'
Azaizeh A.
Assist: Al Sayyali B.
53'
53'
Otavio
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Saudi Professional League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
53%
35%
12%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Qadsiah
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
53%
/ Medium Confidence
- Al Shabab haven't matched Al Qadsiah's recent run of results.
- Al Qadsiah are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Saudi Professional League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Al Qadsiah Clean Sheet 19%
Al Shabab Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Al Qadsiah | Al Shabab |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 31 |
| Wins | 21 | 11 |
| Draws | 7 | 9 |
| Losses | 3 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 2.42 | 1.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.65 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 13, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Shabab vs Al Qadsiah
1:3
Apr 14, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Qadsiah vs Al Shabab
2:2
Dec 31, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Shabab vs Al Qadsiah
2:3
Feb 13, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Shabab vs Al Qadsiah
2:3
Sep 15, 2024 Saudi Professional League
Al Qadsiah vs Al Shabab
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Al Qadsiah Compare
Top Goalscorer Bonsu Baah C.
1 Goals Assists Leader Retegui M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91
Al Shabab Compare
Top Goalscorer Azaizeh A.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Al Qadsiah 85 / 100
Al Shabab 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Al Qadsiah Al Shabab
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Al Qadsiah Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Al Qadsiah scored in 90% of their last 31 outings.
Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.
Solid form: Al Qadsiah remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Al Shabab's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 31 matches.
Scoring Trends
Al Qadsiah VS Al Shabab
2.25 Goals Scored 1.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Al Qadsiah
(Home) 14 Sept
Al Qadsiah
2 : 1 Al Wasl
11 Sept
Al Qadsiah
3 : 3 Al Ettifaq FC
08 Sept
Al Qadsiah
3 : 2 Al Ahli SC
03 Sept
Al Diriyah
0 : 2 Al Qadsiah
30 Aug
Al Qadsiah
3 : 1 Al-Faisaly
Page 1 of 7
14 Sept
Al Qadsiah
2 : 1 Al Wasl
11 Sept
Al Qadsiah
3 : 3 Al Ettifaq FC
08 Sept
Al Qadsiah
3 : 2 Al Ahli SC
30 Aug
Al Qadsiah
3 : 1 Al-Faisaly
21 Aug
Al Qadsiah
0 : 1 Al Ittihad
Page 1 of 3
Al Shabab
(Away) 12 Sept
Al Shabab
0 : 0 Al Fayha
09 Sept
Al Kholood
2 : 1 Al Shabab
04 Sept
Al Shabab
0 : 2 Al Hilal
30 Aug
Al Hazem Rass
1 : 1 Al Shabab
25 Aug
Al Shabab
3 : 3 Al Riyadh
Page 1 of 7
09 Sept
Al Kholood
2 : 1 Al Shabab
30 Aug
Al Hazem Rass
1 : 1 Al Shabab
22 Aug
Al Khaleej
0 : 0 Al Shabab
16 Aug
Al Wehda
3 : 2 Al Shabab
20 May
Al Najma
1 : 0 Al Shabab
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Nassr | 34 | 28 | 2 | 4 | 91:28 | 86 |
| 2 | Al Hilal | 34 | 25 | 9 | 0 | 85:27 | 84 |
| 3 | Al Ahli SC | 34 | 25 | 6 | 3 | 71:25 | 81 |
| 4 | Al Qadsiah | 34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 83:34 | 77 |
| 5 | Al Ittihad | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 55:48 | 55 |
| 6 | Al Taawon | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 59:46 | 53 |
| 7 | Al Ettifaq FC | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 51:55 | 50 |
| 8 | Neom SC | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 43:48 | 45 |
| 9 | Al Hazem Rass | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 38:57 | 42 |
| 10 | Al Fayha | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 41:54 | 38 |
| 11 | Al Fateh | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 41:55 | 37 |
| 12 | Al Khaleej | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 54:62 | 37 |
| 13 | Al Shabab | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 44:57 | 35 |
| 14 | Al Kholood | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 39:61 | 33 |
| 15 | Al Riyadh | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 35:63 | 30 |
| 16 | Damac | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 32:55 | 29 |
| 17 | Al Okhdood | 34 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 27:70 | 20 |
| 18 | Al Najma | 34 | 3 | 7 | 24 | 32:76 | 16 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2026/2027 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 (Main)
