Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Karkh

Iraq Iraq

Stars League
Our Tip

Match Events

78'
Hanoon R.
82' Event
Ajibola D.

AI Match Summary

The Stars League game between Al Quwa Al Jawiya and Al Karkh finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Quwa Al Jawiya.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
20%
Draws
38%
Al Karkh
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al Quwa Al Jawiya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al Quwa Al Jawiya come out ahead of Al Karkh on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Al Quwa Al Jawiya's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Al Quwa Al Jawiya Clean Sheet 16%
Al Karkh Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Quwa Al Jawiya Al Karkh
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 22 12
Draws 6 9
Losses 1 8
Goals Scored 1.5 1.88
Goals Conceded 1 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 26, 2026 Stars League
Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Karkh
1:0
Sep 15, 2025 Stars League
Al Karkh vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya
0:1
Mar 14, 2025 Stars League
Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Karkh
0:1
Oct 30, 2024 Stars League
Al Karkh vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya
1:1
May 5, 2024 Stars League
Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Karkh
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Quwa Al Jawiya Compare

Top Goalscorer Ajibola D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Al Karkh Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Quwa Al Jawiya 41 / 100
Al Karkh 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Quwa Al Jawiya Al Karkh

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Al Quwa Al Jawiya scored in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Al Karkh let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Al Quwa Al Jawiya stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 1.20 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Al Quwa Al Jawiya VS Al Karkh
1.5 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Quwa Al Jawiya

(Home)
02 Jun
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
3 : 2
Zakho
28 May
Naft Missan
0 : 2
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
20 May
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
2 : 1
Al Zawraa
15 May
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
2 : 1
Al Talaba
10 May
Al-Karma
3 : 0
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
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Al Karkh

(Away)
01 Jun
Al Talaba
1 : 1
Al Karkh
28 May
Al Karkh
0 : 2
Al Shorta
20 May
Al Najaf
2 : 5
Al Karkh
15 May
Al Gharraf
2 : 2
Al Karkh
11 May
Al Karkh
2 : 1
Baghdad
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Quwa Al Jawiya38278362:2889
2Al Shorta38248669:3280
3Erbil382310559:3279
4Al Zawraa381715650:3266
5Al-Karma381714753:2665
6Al Talaba381811953:3865
7Al Karkh3816121051:4160
8Newroz381661648:4754
9Zakho3814111349:4553
10Duhok3813111444:4550
11Diyala3813101540:4249
12Al Naft3811151233:3448
13Al Mosul3811141346:4947
14Al Gharraf3811111640:4344
15Naft Missan3811101748:5743
16Al Minaa389131638:4740
17Al Kahraba371152144:5638
18Baghdad381072147:6837
19Al Najaf37652631:6823
20Al-Qassim38063221:966
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)