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Al Talaba vs Newroz - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iraq Iraq

Stars League
Wed, Aug 26, 2026
0 - 3
07:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

75' Event
Rasheed S.
(Penalty)
90'
Hussein T.
90'
Hussein T.

AI Match Summary

Al Talaba host Newroz in the Stars League. This one's hard to separate. Newroz have shipped 0.77 goals a game lately, while Al Talaba have conceded 1.33 and scored 1.33. Head-to-head, Al Talaba have won 2 to Newroz's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Aug 26, 2026, ending 0:3. xG projections (1.04 - 1.00) back Newroz to edge this. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Al Talaba
35%
Draws
36%
Newroz
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Newroz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Newroz have won more games recently than Al Talaba.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Stars League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 28%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Al Talaba Clean Sheet 20%
Newroz Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Talaba Newroz
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 15
Draws 14 10
Losses 7 5
Goals Scored 1.33 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.33 0.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 26, 2026 Stars League
Al Talaba vs Newroz
0:3
Apr 22, 2026 Stars League
Al Talaba vs Newroz
2:2
Jan 14, 2026 Stars League
Newroz vs Al Talaba
0:1
Mar 14, 2025 Stars League
Al Talaba vs Newroz
3:1
Oct 29, 2024 Stars League
Newroz vs Al Talaba
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Talaba 32 / 100
Newroz 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Talaba Newroz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Al Talaba remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Al Talaba found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Newroz's defensive record shows goals conceded in 50% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Talaba VS Newroz
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Talaba

(Home)
06 Nov
Al Talaba
2 : 2
Ghaz Al Shamal
30 Oct
Karbala
2 : 2
Al Talaba
22 Oct
Al Talaba
1 : 0
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
16 Oct
Al Kahraba
0 : 1
Al Talaba
08 Oct
Al Talaba
0 : 0
Al Shorta
Page 1 of 6

Newroz

(Away)
06 Nov
Newroz
1 : 0
Karbala
31 Oct
Al Shorta
1 : 1
Newroz
24 Oct
Newroz
0 : 0
Diyala
16 Oct
Newroz
2 : 0
Al Minaa
09 Oct
Zakho
0 : 1
Newroz
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Karma 13 9 3 1 23:10 30
2 Newroz 13 7 5 1 18:5 26
3 Al Naft 13 7 4 2 15:7 25
4 Al Shorta 13 6 6 1 15:7 24
5 Al Golan 13 6 5 2 19:12 23
6 Al Zawraa 13 6 3 4 17:12 21
7 Erbil 13 5 5 3 16:9 20
8 Duhok 13 4 6 3 20:16 18
9 Al Minaa 13 4 5 4 12:13 17
10 Ghaz Al Shamal 13 3 7 3 9:10 16
11 Al Talaba 13 3 7 3 15:18 16
12 Diyala 13 3 5 5 15:18 14
13 Al Gharraf 13 3 5 5 9:15 14
14 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 13 2 7 4 14:14 13
15 Zakho 13 3 4 6 10:17 13
16 Al Karkh 13 3 3 7 16:21 12
17 Al Mosul 13 3 3 7 13:21 12
18 Al Kahraba 13 2 5 6 9:15 11
19 Naft Missan 13 1 6 6 8:19 9
20 Karbala 13 1 4 8 11:25 7
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)