Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Talaba vs Newroz

Iraq Iraq

Stars League
Wed, Aug 26, 2026
0 - 3
07:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

75' Event
Rasheed S.
(Penalty)
90'
Hussein T.
90'
Hussein T.

AI Match Summary

Al Talaba host Newroz in the Stars League. This one's hard to separate. Newroz have shipped 0.93 goals a game lately, while Al Talaba have conceded 1.31 and scored 1.38. Head-to-head, Al Talaba have won 2 to Newroz's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Aug 26, 2026, ending 0:3. xG projections (0.81 - 1.44) back Newroz to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Al Talaba
35%
Draws
44%
Newroz
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Newroz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

21% / Low Confidence
  • Newroz have won more games recently than Al Talaba.
  • Al Talaba are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Stars League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Al Talaba Clean Sheet 68%
Newroz Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Talaba Newroz
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 15
Draws 11 7
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.38 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.31 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 26, 2026 Stars League
Al Talaba vs Newroz
0:3
Apr 22, 2026 Stars League
Al Talaba vs Newroz
2:2
Jan 14, 2026 Stars League
Newroz vs Al Talaba
0:1
Mar 14, 2025 Stars League
Al Talaba vs Newroz
3:1
Oct 29, 2024 Stars League
Newroz vs Al Talaba
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Talaba 59 / 100
Newroz 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Talaba Newroz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Talaba Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Talaba found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Al Talaba stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Newroz's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Talaba VS Newroz
0.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Talaba

(Home)
18 Sept
Al Talaba
2 : 2
Al Golan
13 Sept
Naft Missan
2 : 0
Al Talaba
09 Sept
Al Talaba
3 : 2
Al Karkh
05 Sept
Zakho
0 : 0
Al Talaba
31 Aug
Al Talaba
0 : 0
Al Naft
Page 1 of 6

Newroz

(Away)
14 Sept
Al Golan
0 : 2
Newroz
09 Sept
Newroz
3 : 0
Al Mosul
04 Sept
Naft Missan
0 : 2
Newroz
30 Aug
Newroz
0 : 0
Duhok
26 Aug
Al Talaba
0 : 3
Newroz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Zawraa 8 5 3 0 15:3 18
2 Erbil 8 5 2 1 12:3 17
3 Al-Karma 7 5 2 0 13:5 17
4 Al Naft 8 4 3 1 9:5 15
5 Newroz 7 4 2 1 13:4 14
6 Al Shorta 7 3 3 1 7:4 12
7 Al Golan 8 2 4 2 8:9 10
8 Duhok 8 1 6 1 11:11 9
9 Al Minaa 8 2 3 3 8:10 9
10 Zakho 7 2 3 2 7:10 9
11 Diyala 7 2 2 3 12:13 8
12 Al Mosul 8 2 2 4 9:12 8
13 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 7 1 4 2 10:11 7
14 Ghaz Al Shamal 7 1 4 2 4:5 7
15 Al Kahraba 7 1 4 2 6:8 7
16 Al Karkh 8 2 1 5 10:14 7
17 Al Talaba 8 1 4 3 9:14 7
18 Naft Missan 8 1 4 3 6:11 7
19 Al Gharraf 8 1 2 5 4:12 5
20 Karbala 8 1 2 5 6:15 5
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)