Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al-Ula vs Al Jubail

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Division 1 2025/2026 Prince Mohammed bin Abdul Aziz Stadium, Medina
Our Tip

Match Events

3'
Al Oudah O.
34' Event
Guanca C.
37'
Al Dhikr I.

AI Match Summary

Al-Ula in this Division 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al-Ula.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Al-Ula
15%
Draws
0%
Al Jubail
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al-Ula

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al-Ula lately — more wins on the board than Al Jubail.
  • Model gives Al-Ula a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Al-Ula Clean Sheet 68%
Al Jubail Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Ula Al Jubail
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 21 3
Draws 5 4
Losses 7 23
Goals Scored 1.79 0.87
Goals Conceded 0.94 2.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Division 1
Al Jubail vs Al-Ula
0:2
Jan 12, 2026 Division 1
Al-Ula vs Al Jubail
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al-Ula Compare

Top Goalscorer Guanca C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Koulouris E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Al Jubail Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Ula 95 / 100
Al Jubail 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Ula Al Jubail

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al-Ula Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Al Jubail conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: Al-Ula remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Al Jubail lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Al-Ula scored in 73% of their last 33 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al-Ula VS Al Jubail
1.63 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al-Ula

(Home)
14 Sept
Al-Ula
3 : 0
Jeddah Club
08 Sept
Damac
0 : 1
Al-Ula
02 Sept
Al-Ula
2 : 0
Al Raed
28 Aug
Al Anwar
0 : 1
Al-Ula
23 Aug
Al-Ula
3 : 1
Al Jabalain
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Al Jubail

(Away)
13 May
Al Adalah
2 : 0
Al Jubail
09 May
Al Jubail
0 : 2
Al-Ula
01 May
Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia)
4 : 3
Al Jubail
26 Apr
Al Jubail
1 : 2
Al Diriyah
20 Apr
Al Jubail
0 : 2
Al Wehda
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Abha 34 24 5 5 64:35 77
2 Al-Faisaly 34 21 10 3 76:32 73
3 Al Diriyah 34 22 6 6 79:39 72
4 Al-Ula 34 21 8 5 72:33 71
5 Al Orubah 34 20 5 9 56:38 65
6 Al Jabalain 34 17 8 9 59:38 59
7 Al Raed 34 14 10 10 64:46 52
8 Al Zulfi 34 11 12 11 46:45 45
9 Al Taee 34 12 8 14 48:52 44
10 Al Wehda 34 12 7 15 52:58 43
11 Al Bukiryah 34 12 7 15 36:48 43
12 Al Anwar 34 10 11 13 53:54 41
13 Jeddah Club 34 9 12 13 34:51 39
14 Al Adalah 34 8 9 17 44:70 33
15 Al Jandal 34 8 8 18 34:60 32
16 Al Batin 34 5 7 22 39:69 22
17 Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia) 34 5 6 23 24:67 21
18 Al Jubail 34 3 5 26 28:73 14
Promotion - Saudi Professional League (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)