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Alamein FC W vs Keilor Park W

Australia Australia

NPL Victoria Women
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AI Match Summary

The NPL Victoria Women game between Alamein FC W and Keilor Park W finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alamein FC W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Alamein FC W
33%
Draws
27%
Keilor Park W
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Alamein FC W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Alamein FC W come out ahead of Keilor Park W on wins alone.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Alamein FC W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Alamein FC W Clean Sheet 19%
Keilor Park W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alamein FC W Keilor Park W
Matches Played 22 22
Wins 11 6
Draws 3 5
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.38 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.25 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 NPL Victoria Women
Alamein FC W vs Keilor Park W
3:0
Feb 21, 2026 NPL Victoria Women
Keilor Park W vs Alamein FC W
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alamein FC W 40 / 100
Keilor Park W 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alamein FC W Keilor Park W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Keilor Park W let in goals in 86% of their last 22 matches.

Alamein FC W's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 22 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Alamein FC W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Alamein FC W VS Keilor Park W
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Alamein FC W

(Home)
24 Jul
Box Hill W
2 : 0
Alamein FC W
18 Jul
Alamein FC W
1 : 1
South Melbourne W
11 Jul
Heidelberg Utd W
1 : 2
Alamein FC W
04 Jul
Alamein FC W
2 : 0
Preston Lions W
26 Jun
Bentleigh Greens W
1 : 1
Alamein FC W
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Keilor Park W

(Away)
24 Jul
Preston Lions W
1 : 0
Keilor Park W
18 Jul
Keilor Park W
1 : 1
Bentleigh Greens W
11 Jul
Essendon Royals W
3 : 0
Keilor Park W
04 Jul
Keilor Park W
3 : 1
Melbourne City U20 W
27 Jun
Keilor Park W
2 : 1
Melbourne Victory U20 W
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Box Hill W22162459:2450
2Essendon Royals W22152563:2447
3Bulleen Lions W22144453:2146
4Avondale FC W22142655:2244
5Boroondara Eagles W22131847:3440
6South Melbourne W22116543:2239
7Alamein FC W22113828:2436
8Spring Hills W22821226:3226
9Melbourne Victory U20 W21821135:4626
10Heidelberg Utd W22651132:4423
11Preston Lions W22651126:4123
12Keilor Park W22651122:3823
13Bentleigh Greens W22221817:748
14Melbourne City U20 W21211820:807
Promotion - NPL Victoria Women (Play Offs)