Sport Picks
Alanyaspor vs Galatasaray
Turkey
Turkish Cup 2025/2026 Alanya Oba Stadium, Alanya 
Match Events
6'
6'
Yilmaz B.
(Penalty)
29'
29'
Nhaga R.
Assist: Yilmaz B.
46'
46'
Sub
Keskin E. In: Hadergjonaj F.
Out: Keskin E.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-2, with Galatasaray advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
45%
15%
40%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alanyaspor
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Galatasaray come out ahead of Alanyaspor on wins alone.
- 45% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Galatasaray arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Galatasaray, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Galatasaray here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Alanyaspor Clean Sheet 14%
Galatasaray Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Alanyaspor | Galatasaray |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 8 | 16 |
| Draws | 12 | 3 |
| Losses | 10 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.47 | 1.87 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.37 | 1.68 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 3, 2026 Turkish Cup
Alanyaspor vs Galatasaray
1:2
Feb 28, 2026 Super Lig
Galatasaray vs Alanyaspor
3:1
Sep 26, 2025 Super Lig
Alanyaspor vs Galatasaray
0:1
Mar 9, 2025 Super Lig
Alanyaspor vs Galatasaray
1:2
Oct 6, 2024 Super Lig
Galatasaray vs Alanyaspor
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Alanyaspor Compare
Top Goalscorer Mounie S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Galatasaray Compare
Top Goalscorer Nhaga R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Alanyaspor 30 / 100
Galatasaray 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Alanyaspor Galatasaray
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Alanyaspor Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Alanyaspor scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.
Defensive concern: Galatasaray conceded in 81% of 31 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Alanyaspor went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Alanyaspor VS Galatasaray
1.25 Goals Scored 2.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Alanyaspor
(Home) 19 Sept
Corum FK
1 : 2 Alanyaspor
12 Sept
Alanyaspor
2 : 2 Goztepe
07 Sept
Rizespor
0 : 1 Alanyaspor
30 Aug
Eyupspor
2 : 1 Alanyaspor
23 Aug
Alanyaspor
1 : 0 Besiktas
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Alanyaspor
2 : 2 Goztepe
23 Aug
Alanyaspor
1 : 0 Besiktas
04 Aug
Alanyaspor
0 : 0 Erzurumspor FK
16 Jul
Alanyaspor
2 : 2 Tikves
09 May
Alanyaspor
3 : 1 Kayserispor
Page 1 of 4
Galatasaray
(Away) 19 Sept
Trabzonspor
4 : 0 Galatasaray
13 Sept
Galatasaray
1 : 0 Kocaelispor
09 Sept
Sporting CP
3 : 1 Galatasaray
04 Sept
Basaksehir
2 : 3 Galatasaray
29 Aug
Galatasaray
3 : 2 Goztepe
Page 1 of 7
19 Sept
Trabzonspor
4 : 0 Galatasaray
09 Sept
Sporting CP
3 : 1 Galatasaray
04 Sept
Basaksehir
2 : 3 Galatasaray
21 Aug
Erzurumspor FK
0 : 4 Galatasaray
17 Jul
Umraniyespor
1 : 5 Galatasaray
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Galatasaray | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8:3 | 12 |
| 2 | Trabzonspor | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13:4 | 9 |
| 3 | Alanyaspor | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:4 | 7 |
| 4 | Basaksehir | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:7 | 6 |
| 5 | F. Karagumruk | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:6 | 5 |
| 6 | Boluspor | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1:6 | 2 |
| 7 | Istanbulspor AS | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:9 | 2 |
| 8 | Fethiyespor | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:7 | 1 |
Promotion - Turkish Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Samsunspor | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12:3 | 12 |
| 2 | Konyaspor | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9:1 | 12 |
| 3 | Genclerbirligi | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9:5 | 10 |
| 4 | Igdir FK | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 |
| 5 | Eyupspor | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:6 | 4 |
| 6 | Bodrumspor | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:7 | 1 |
| 7 | Aliaga | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5:16 | 1 |
| 8 | Antalyaspor | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0:10 | 0 |
Promotion - Turkish Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Besiktas | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10:3 | 10 |
| 2 | Fenerbahce | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9:3 | 9 |
| 3 | Erzurumspor FK | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:8 | 6 |
| 4 | Gaziantep | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:10 | 6 |
| 5 | Kocaelispor | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 4 |
| 6 | Rizespor | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:9 | 4 |
| 7 | Beyoglu Yeni Carsi | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | 4 |
| 8 | Keciorengucu | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:13 | 3 |
Promotion - Turkish Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
