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Albenga vs Vogherese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2024/2025
Thu, Apr 17, 2025
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Albenga host Vogherese in the Serie D - Group A 2024/2025. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Vogherese have shipped 2.48 goals a game lately, while Albenga have conceded 3.37 and scored 0.37. Past meetings favor Albenga slightly — 1-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 17, 2025, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.60 xG vs 0.93) point toward Vogherese. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Albenga
15%
Draws
85%
Vogherese
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vogherese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Vogherese come out ahead of Albenga on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Albenga's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Albenga Clean Sheet 20%
Vogherese Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Albenga Vogherese
Matches Played 19 31
Wins 1 3
Draws 0 6
Losses 18 22
Goals Scored 0.37 0.74
Goals Conceded 3.37 2.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Albenga vs Vogherese
0:0
Dec 8, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Vogherese vs Albenga
4:1
Apr 21, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Vogherese vs Albenga
2:2
Dec 10, 2023 Serie D - Group A
Albenga vs Vogherese
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Albenga 85 / 100
Vogherese 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Albenga Vogherese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Albenga Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vogherese's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Vogherese's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Albenga found the back of the net in 32% of recent matches (19 games).

Scoring Trends

- VS Vogherese
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Albenga

(Home)
09 Feb
Albenga
0 : 7
Vado
02 Feb
Derthona FbC
2 : 1
Albenga
29 Jan
Albenga
1 : 2
Asti Calcio
26 Jan
Saluzzo
5 : 0
Albenga
19 Jan
Albenga
0 : 1
Borgaro
Page 1 of 4

Vogherese

(Away)
03 May
AC Milan U23
10 : 1
Vogherese
26 Apr
Vogherese
0 : 6
Caldiero Terme
19 Apr
Ciserano-Bergamo
6 : 1
Vogherese
11 Apr
Vogherese
0 : 4
USD Casatese
02 Apr
Chievo
4 : 1
Vogherese
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bra 36 24 6 6 70:24 78
2 NovaRomentin 36 21 8 7 75:27 71
3 Gozzano 36 18 11 7 52:34 65
4 Vado 36 19 8 9 51:37 65
5 Lavagnese 36 18 10 8 49:35 64
6 Varese FC 36 17 11 8 47:34 62
7 Ligorna 36 16 10 10 55:42 58
8 Chisola 36 14 8 14 43:37 50
9 Saluzzo 36 12 14 10 39:35 50
10 Sanremese 36 10 15 11 31:33 45
11 Asti Calcio 36 11 12 13 36:46 45
12 Derthona FbC 36 11 11 14 41:50 44
13 Oltrepo 36 10 10 16 38:59 40
14 Imperia Calcio 36 10 8 18 52:58 38
15 Vogherese 36 8 13 15 31:44 37
16 Cairese 36 9 10 17 32:47 37
17 AC Chieri 36 7 10 19 33:58 31
18 Borgaro 36 8 4 24 34:77 28
19 Fossano 36 7 5 24 31:63 26
20 Albenga 0 0 0 0 0:0 -1
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Out)