Sport Picks

Latvia

Nakotnes liga

Skanste

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Alberts JDFS play Skanste in the Nakotnes liga. It looks like a close match. Recently, Alberts JDFS averaged 2.07 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. Skanste averaged 1.7 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. In past meetings, Alberts JDFS won 2, Skanste won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 24, 2026 ended 4:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.19 for Alberts JDFS and 1.38 for Skanste. This points to a Alberts JDFS double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%

Alberts JDFS

24%

Draws

33%

Skanste

Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Alberts JDFS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence

Alberts JDFS picked up more points recently compared to Skanste.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.19 vs 1.38 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 65%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 85%

Over 2.5 Goals 65%

Over 3.5 Goals 39%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%

Alberts JDFS Clean Sheet 17%

Skanste Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 77%

Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Alberts JDFS	Skanste
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	17	14
Draws	6	4
Losses	7	12
Goals Scored	2.07	1.7
Goals Conceded	1.2	1.63
Expected Goals (xG)	2.50	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Nakotnes liga

Alberts JDFS vs Skanste

Possession: 46% - 55% Cards: 0 - 0

4:1

Aug 31, 2025 Nakotnes liga

Alberts JDFS vs Skanste

Possession: 52% - 50% Cards: 1 - 4

2:2

Jun 20, 2025 Latvian Cup

Skanste vs Alberts JDFS

Possession: 47% - 57% Cards: 0 - 2

1:2

Apr 26, 2025 Nakotnes liga

Skanste vs Alberts JDFS

Possession: 54% - 50% Cards: 2 - 0

1:1

Sep 14, 2024 Nakotnes liga

Alberts JDFS vs Skanste

Possession: 49% - 51% Cards: 0 - 3

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alberts JDFS Compare

Top Goalscorer Prohorenkovs M.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Sticenko K.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.92

Avg xA / game 1.25

Skanste Compare

Top Goalscorer Livcans L.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.36

Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alberts JDFS 42 / 100

Skanste 32 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Alberts JDFS Skanste

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Alberts JDFS or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +23%

2.86

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.9%

1.69

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Alberts JDFS attacking → ← attacking Skanste

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alberts JDFS scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Skanste let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Alberts JDFS went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Skanste lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

57 Points in last 5 46

2.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.50

1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	FK Metta	12	10	1	1	42:11	31
2	Valmiera	12	9	2	1	32:12	29
3	Riga Mariners	12	8	4	0	25:10	28
4	Leevon PPK	12	7	3	2	20:15	24
5	Alberts JDFS	12	6	2	4	25:20	20
6	Marupe	12	6	1	5	22:15	19
7	Super Nova 2	12	5	4	3	19:17	19
8	Riga FC 2	12	5	1	6	19:22	16
9	Skanste	12	4	1	7	20:24	13
10	JFK Ventspils	12	2	4	6	15:20	10
11	RFS 2	12	2	3	7	15:26	9
12	Tukums 2000 2	12	2	2	8	16:31	8
13	Rezekne	12	1	2	9	10:36	5
14	FK Smiltene	12	0	4	8	12:33	4