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AlbinoLeffe vs Pro Patria

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 AlbinoLeffe, Zanica
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
De Paoli A.
37' Event
Parlati S.
44' Event
Desogus J.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
AlbinoLeffe
20%
Draws
60%
Pro Patria
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pro Patria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to AlbinoLeffe lately — more wins on the board than Pro Patria.
  • Model gives Pro Patria a 60% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
AlbinoLeffe Clean Sheet 16%
Pro Patria Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AlbinoLeffe Pro Patria
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 8
Draws 7 5
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 1.55 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 Serie C - Group A
AlbinoLeffe vs Pro Patria
2:2
Sep 25, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Pro Patria vs AlbinoLeffe
0:3
Feb 1, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Pro Patria vs AlbinoLeffe
1:2
Sep 24, 2024 Serie C - Group A
AlbinoLeffe vs Pro Patria
0:0
Jan 27, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Pro Patria vs AlbinoLeffe
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AlbinoLeffe Compare

Top Goalscorer De Paoli A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Parlati S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Pro Patria Compare

Top Goalscorer Desogus J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Udoh K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AlbinoLeffe 11 / 100
Pro Patria 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AlbinoLeffe Pro Patria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pro Patria Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pro Patria's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

AlbinoLeffe scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: AlbinoLeffe remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

AlbinoLeffe VS Pro Patria
1.88 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

AlbinoLeffe

(Home)
20 Sept
Juventus U23
3 : 5
AlbinoLeffe
17 Sept
AlbinoLeffe
1 : 2
Arzignano
13 Sept
Dolomiti Bellunesi
0 : 0
AlbinoLeffe
06 Sept
AlbinoLeffe
0 : 1
Carpi
31 Aug
AlbinoLeffe
1 : 1
Ospitaletto
Page 1 of 6

Pro Patria

(Away)
20 Sept
Arconatese
0 : 3
Pro Patria
16 Sept
Pro Patria
2 : 0
Crema
12 Sept
US Pontedera
2 : 3
Pro Patria
06 Sept
Pro Patria
2 : 1
Oltrepo
12 Aug
Pro Patria
3 : 1
Gozzano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vicenza 38 27 8 3 69:26 89
2 Union Brescia 38 19 12 7 49:24 69
3 Renate 38 17 13 8 53:37 64
4 Lecco 38 18 10 10 47:34 64
5 Trento 38 16 15 7 58:42 63
6 Cittadella 38 17 8 13 45:43 59
7 Lumezzane 38 14 14 10 46:39 56
8 Alcione Milano 38 15 10 13 35:28 55
9 Arzignano 38 15 8 15 50:48 53
10 Giana Erminio 38 14 10 14 38:39 52
11 AlbinoLeffe 38 13 11 14 51:49 50
12 Inter U23 38 12 12 14 40:41 48
13 Novara 38 9 20 9 40:39 47
14 Pro Vercelli 38 13 7 18 39:55 46
15 Ospitaletto 38 10 15 13 41:43 45
16 Pergolettese 38 10 11 17 37:50 41
17 Dolomiti Bellunesi 38 10 10 18 38:61 40
18 Virtus Verona 38 3 16 19 34:62 25
19 Pro Patria 38 4 11 23 34:70 23
20 Triestina 38 9 9 20 45:59 12
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)