Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Albirex Niigata vs Fukuyama City

Japan Japan

Emperors Cup Denka Big Swan Stadium, Niigata
Wed, Jun 11, 2025
1 - 0
10:00 AM
Our Tip

Match Events

2'
Takata K.
46'
Sub
Miguel Silveira In: Okumura J.
Out: Miguel Silveira
59'
Sub
Ono Y. In: Hasegawa M.
Out: Ono Y.

AI Match Summary

Albirex Niigata in this Emperors Cup tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Albirex Niigata
6%
Draws
4%
Fukuyama City
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Albirex Niigata

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Albirex Niigata have won more games recently than Fukuyama City.
  • Model gives Albirex Niigata a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Albirex Niigata have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Albirex Niigata, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Albirex Niigata Clean Sheet 68%
Fukuyama City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Albirex Niigata Fukuyama City
Matches Played 31 12
Wins 14 4
Draws 4 0
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.5 0
Goals Conceded 1.25 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 11, 2025 Emperors Cup
Albirex Niigata vs Fukuyama City
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Albirex Niigata Compare

Top Goalscorer Kasai K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Fukuyama City Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Albirex Niigata 95 / 100
Fukuyama City 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Albirex Niigata Fukuyama City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALB Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Albirex Niigata scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

Fukuyama City's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 12 matches.

Recent resilience: Albirex Niigata stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Fukuyama City lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Albirex Niigata VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Albirex Niigata

(Home)
25 Jul
Albirex Niigata
3 : 4
Montedio Yamagata
06 Jun
Albirex Niigata
1 : 0
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
30 May
Albirex Niigata
0 : 1
Kagoshima United
23 May
Albirex Niigata
2 : 1
Ehime
16 May
Albirex Niigata
2 : 1
Nara Club
Page 1 of 7

Fukuyama City

(Away)
11 Jun
Albirex Niigata
1 : 0
Fukuyama City
25 May
Fukuyama City
2 : 1
FC Tokushima
24 Feb
Tokushima
3 : 1
Fukuyama City
12 Jun
Avispa Fukuoka
8 : 0
Fukuyama City
01 Jun
Tokushima
2 : 1
Fukuyama City
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Machida Zelvia-
TBD-
Kyoto Sangyo3
Moriyama Samurai1
Vegalta Sendai-
TBD-
Toyama2
Juntendo University1
Kyoto-
TBD-
Nara Club3
Niigata University1
Yokohama FC-
TBD-
Iwate Grulla Morioka6
North Asia University0
Kashima Antlers-
TBD-
Thespakusatsu Gunma1
Hosei0
V-Varen Nagasaki-
TBD-
Omiya Ardija0
Tsukuba Univ.1
Avispa Fukuoka-
TBD-
Okinawa4
Verspah Oita1
Okayama-
TBD-
Belugarosso Iwami0
Giravanz Kitakyushu1
FC Tokyo-
TBD-
Kanazawa6
Chukyo0
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo-
TBD-
Oita Trinita2
Lvnirosso0
Cerezo Osaka-
TBD-
Arterivo Wakayama4
Basara Hyogo3
Tokushima-
TBD-
TBD-
Renofa Yamaguchi-
Gamba Osaka-
TBD-
Veertien Mie1
Yamanashi Gakuin0
Montedio Yamagata-
TBD-
Imabari0
Kagoshima United2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Urawa Reds-
Kawasaki Frontale-
TBD-
Fukushima United9
Tokyo International University1
Iwata-
TBD-
Mito0
SC Sagamihara1
Yokohama F. Marinos-
TBD-
Reinmeer Aomori5
BTOP Hokkaido0
Iwaki-
TBD-
TBD-
Blaublitz-
Vissel Kobe-
TBD-
Kamatamare Sanuki2
Kochi United3
Kofu-
TBD-
Fukui Utd.1
Honda FC0
Albirex Niigata-
TBD-
Fukuyama City2
FC Tokushima1
Kashiwa Reysol-
TBD-
Sendai University2
Toyo University4
Verdy-
TBD-
Tochigi SC5
Oyama0
Sagan Tosu-
TBD-
Ehime1
Mitsubishi Nagasaki0
Nagoya Grampus-
TBD-
Veroskronos Tsuno2
Gainare Tottori1
Chiba-
TBD-
TBD-
Kumamoto-
Sanfrecce Hiroshima-
TBD-
Brew Saga2
Hirondelle Kumamoto1
Fujieda MYFC-
TBD-
Baleine Shimonoseki2
International Pacific Univesity1
Shonan Bellmare-
TBD-
Gifu3
Toyama Shinjo1
Shimizu S-Pulse-
TBD-
Matsumoto Yamaga2
FC Osaka1
1/32-finals
Machida Zelvia2
Kyoto Sangyo1
Vegalta Sendai0
Toyama1
Kyoto1
Nara Club0
Yokohama FC2
Iwate Grulla Morioka1
Kashima Antlers4
Thespakusatsu Gunma0
V-Varen Nagasaki2
Tsukuba Univ.1
Avispa Fukuoka2
Okinawa0
Okayama0
Giravanz Kitakyushu2
FC Tokyo3
Kanazawa1
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo2
Oita Trinita3
Cerezo Osaka5
Arterivo Wakayama0
Tokushima2
Renofa Yamaguchi1
Gamba Osaka2
Veertien Mie1
Montedio Yamagata2
Kagoshima United1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Urawa Reds-
Kawasaki Frontale4
Fukushima United3
Iwata1
SC Sagamihara2
Yokohama F. Marinos0
Reinmeer Aomori2
Iwaki1
Blaublitz2
Vissel Kobe4
Kochi United1
Kofu2
Fukui Utd.1
Albirex Niigata1
Fukuyama City0
Kashiwa Reysol0
Toyo University2
Verdy3
Tochigi SC1
Sagan Tosu1
Ehime0
Nagoya Grampus3
Veroskronos Tsuno0
Chiba1
Kumamoto2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima3
Brew Saga1
Fujieda MYFC2
Baleine Shimonoseki0
Shonan Bellmare2
Gifu0
Shimizu S-Pulse4
Matsumoto Yamaga2
1/16-finals
Machida Zelvia2
Toyama1
Kyoto4
Yokohama FC3
Kashima Antlers2
V-Varen Nagasaki1
Avispa Fukuoka1
Giravanz Kitakyushu0
FC Tokyo2
Oita Trinita0
Cerezo Osaka2
Tokushima0
Gamba Osaka4
Montedio Yamagata5
TBD-
Urawa Reds-
Kawasaki Frontale0
SC Sagamihara1
Reinmeer Aomori1
Blaublitz2
Vissel Kobe2
Kofu1
Albirex Niigata1
Toyo University2
Verdy1
Sagan Tosu0
Nagoya Grampus2
Kumamoto1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima5
Fujieda MYFC2
Shonan Bellmare0
Shimizu S-Pulse1
1/8-finals
Machida Zelvia1
Kyoto0
Kashima Antlers3
Avispa Fukuoka2
FC Tokyo2
Cerezo Osaka1
Montedio Yamagata1
Urawa Reds2
SC Sagamihara2
Blaublitz1
Vissel Kobe2
Toyo University1
Verdy1
Nagoya Grampus2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima3
Shimizu S-Pulse0
Quarter-finals
Machida Zelvia3
Kashima Antlers0
FC Tokyo2
Urawa Reds1
SC Sagamihara1
Vissel Kobe2
Nagoya Grampus2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima4
Semi-finals
Machida Zelvia2
FC Tokyo0
Vissel Kobe2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima0
Final
Machida Zelvia3
Vissel Kobe1