Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Alcains vs Fatima

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Alves I.
37' Event
Goncalves D.
44' Event
Romano P.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2024/2025 game between Alcains and Fatima finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fatima.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Alcains
15%
Draws
64%
Fatima
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fatima

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Fatima come out ahead of Alcains on wins alone.
  • Model gives Fatima a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Fatima have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Alcains Clean Sheet 23%
Fatima Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alcains Fatima
Matches Played 31 39
Wins 7 17
Draws 6 10
Losses 18 12
Goals Scored 0.81 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.32 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 19, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Alcains vs Fatima
1:2
Aug 25, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Fatima vs Alcains
0:0
May 12, 2019 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Fatima vs Alcains
3:1
Jan 13, 2019 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Alcains vs Fatima
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alcains Compare

Top Goalscorer Romano P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Fatima Compare

Top Goalscorer Alves I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Goncalves D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alcains 10 / 100
Fatima 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alcains Fatima

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fatima Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fatima has conceded goals in 62% of their last 39 outings.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Alcains's goal record stands at 42% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Solid form: Alcains remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Alcains VS Fatima
0.5 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Alcains

(Home)
20 Sept
Alcains
0 : 2
Vitoria Setubal
30 Aug
Alcains
1 : 0
Sertanense
13 Apr
Alcains
0 : 2
Alverca B
06 Apr
Sertanense
3 : 1
Alcains
29 Mar
Alcains
0 : 1
Uniao de Coimbra
Page 1 of 7

Fatima

(Away)
20 Sept
Fatima
4 : 1
Vinhais
13 Sept
Fatima
0 : 1
Oliveira Hospital
06 Sept
Os Marialvas
3 : 0
Fatima
29 Aug
Fatima
3 : 1
SB Castelo Branco
23 Aug
Fatima
5 : 0
Malveira
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 O Elvas CAD 26 20 5 1 41:10 65
2 Fatima 26 14 7 5 30:12 49
3 Arronches Benfica 26 13 9 4 27:17 48
4 GD Peniche 26 10 9 7 31:23 39
5 Os Marialvas 26 9 10 7 30:28 37
6 Mortagua FC 26 8 13 5 23:21 37
7 Marinhense 26 9 9 8 24:21 36
8 Alverca B 26 9 8 9 28:25 35
9 SB Castelo Branco 26 8 10 8 23:21 34
10 SC Pombal 26 8 8 10 29:34 32
11 Uniao de Coimbra 26 6 7 13 26:44 25
12 Sertanense 26 4 9 13 23:33 21
13 Alcains 26 4 6 16 17:36 18
14 Pero Pinheiro 26 2 6 18 12:39 12
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025 (Promotion Group)