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Stadium Background

Alcaniz CF vs La Muela

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 17 2008/2009
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 17 2008/2009 game between Alcaniz CF and La Muela finished 5-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alcaniz CF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Alcaniz CF
20%
Draws
38%
La Muela
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Alcaniz CF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and La Muela come out ahead of Alcaniz CF on wins alone.
  • Model gives Alcaniz CF a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 17 2008/2009 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Alcaniz CF Clean Sheet 20%
La Muela Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alcaniz CF La Muela
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 8 9
Draws 5 11
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 0 0.5
Goals Conceded 0 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Alcaniz CF vs La Muela
1:2
Jan 3, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
La Muela vs Alcaniz CF
1:0
Feb 1, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Alcaniz CF vs La Muela
5:3
Sep 21, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
La Muela vs Alcaniz CF
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alcaniz CF 42 / 100
La Muela 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alcaniz CF La Muela

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alcaniz CF scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

La Muela lost 3 of their last 5 games.

La Muela has conceded goals in 59% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS La Muela
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Alcaniz CF

(Home)
09 May
Alcaniz CF
2 : 3
Andorra CF
02 May
Sabinanigo
3 : 0
Alcaniz CF
25 Apr
Alcaniz CF
1 : 2
La Muela
23 Apr
Sarinena
0 : 0
Alcaniz CF
18 Apr
Alcaniz CF
4 : 2
Fraga
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La Muela

(Away)
15 May
La Muela
1 : 0
Caudal Deportivo
08 May
Zamora
3 : 1
La Muela
01 May
La Muela
0 : 1
Leonesa
24 Apr
Guijuelo
2 : 2
La Muela
17 Apr
La Muela
1 : 3
Lemona
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Atletico Monzon38277487:2888
2Zaragoza B38268491:3086
3Teruel38257678:2282
4La Muela38248686:3280
5SD Ejea382251174:3871
6Andorra CF382071176:4467
7Utebo FC381691361:5857
8Sarinena381691351:5857
9UD Barbastro381481651:5850
10Atletico Calatayud3812111552:5647
11Alcaniz CF3812101664:6846
12Villanueva CF381291762:6545
13Sabinanigo3811101735:6043
14CD Cuarte381191845:5942
15Giner Torrero381181940:6741
16Fraga381172048:7140
17San Lorenzo de Flumen381152236:7638
18Binefar389111850:8238
19Zuera38562733:7621
20Brea38562735:10721
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2008/2009 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2008/2009 (Main)