Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Alcione Milano vs Dolomiti Bellunesi

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A Stadio Ernesto Breda, Sesto San Giovanni
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Muroni M.
39'
Sub
Bertolotti F. In: Chierichetti P.
Out: Bertolotti F.
52' Event
Pitou J.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group A game between Alcione Milano and Dolomiti Bellunesi finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alcione Milano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Alcione Milano
28%
Draws
22%
Dolomiti Bellunesi
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Alcione Milano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Alcione Milano come out ahead of Dolomiti Bellunesi on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Alcione Milano's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Alcione Milano Clean Sheet 68%
Dolomiti Bellunesi Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alcione Milano Dolomiti Bellunesi
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 11 8
Draws 8 6
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 0.63 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Alcione Milano vs Dolomiti Bellunesi
5:0
Sep 13, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Dolomiti Bellunesi vs Alcione Milano
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alcione Milano Compare

Top Goalscorer Muroni M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Pitou J.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Dolomiti Bellunesi Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alcione Milano 59 / 100
Dolomiti Bellunesi 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alcione Milano Dolomiti Bellunesi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Dolomiti Bellunesi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Solid form: Alcione Milano remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Away concern: Dolomiti Bellunesi has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Alcione Milano VS Dolomiti Bellunesi
0.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Alcione Milano

(Home)
22 Jul
Torino
1 : 0
Alcione Milano
03 May
Lumezzane
0 : 0
Alcione Milano
25 Apr
Alcione Milano
2 : 1
AlbinoLeffe
19 Apr
Virtus Verona
1 : 1
Alcione Milano
10 Apr
Alcione Milano
0 : 2
Lecco
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Dolomiti Bellunesi

(Away)
19 Jul
Venezia
4 : 2
Dolomiti Bellunesi
25 Apr
Dolomiti Bellunesi
0 : 0
Trento
19 Apr
Union Brescia
2 : 0
Dolomiti Bellunesi
13 Apr
Dolomiti Bellunesi
2 : 4
Pro Patria
06 Apr
Giana Erminio
1 : 1
Dolomiti Bellunesi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vicenza38278369:2689
2Union Brescia381912749:2469
3Renate381713853:3764
4Lecco3818101047:3464
5Trento381615758:4263
6Cittadella381781345:4359
7Lumezzane3814141046:3956
8Alcione Milano3815101335:2855
9Arzignano381581550:4853
10Giana Erminio3814101438:3952
11AlbinoLeffe3813111451:4950
12Inter U233812121440:4148
13Novara38920940:3947
14Pro Vercelli381371839:5546
15Ospitaletto3810151341:4345
16Pergolettese3810111737:5041
17Dolomiti Bellunesi3810101838:6140
18Virtus Verona383161934:6225
19Pro Patria384112334:7023
20Triestina38992045:5912
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)