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Alcudia vs Ferriolense

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Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 game between Alcudia and Ferriolense finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alcudia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Alcudia
15%
Draws
26%
Ferriolense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alcudia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Ferriolense haven't matched Alcudia's recent run of results.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Alcudia taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Alcudia Clean Sheet 19%
Ferriolense Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alcudia Ferriolense
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 12 6
Draws 8 5
Losses 15 19
Goals Scored 1.23 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Alcudia vs Ferriolense
2:1
Apr 18, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Ferriolense vs Alcudia
0:0
Feb 22, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Ferriolense vs Alcudia
1:1
Sep 29, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Alcudia vs Ferriolense
1:3
Mar 17, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Alcudia vs Ferriolense
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alcudia 76 / 100
Ferriolense 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alcudia Ferriolense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alcudia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Ferriolense conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Alcudia scored in 71% of their last 35 games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Recent resilience: Alcudia stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Alcudia VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Alcudia

(Home)
19 Sept
Alcudia
1 : 2
Santanyi
12 Sept
Arenal
1 : 2
Alcudia
06 Sept
Alcudia
5 : 0
Inter Ibiza
10 May
Mercadal
3 : 2
Alcudia
03 May
Alcudia
1 : 1
Binissalem
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Ferriolense

(Away)
19 Jun
Santa Catalina Atletico
4 : 1
Ferriolense
12 Jun
Ferriolense
0 : 1
Binissalem
05 Jun
Esporles
0 : 4
Ferriolense
29 May
Ferriolense
0 : 4
Llosetense
22 May
Alcudia
2 : 1
Ferriolense
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