Sport Picks
Match Events
42'
42'
Ripoll M.
49'
49'
Exposito A.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
30%
37%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Santanyi
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
33%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Alcudia lately — more wins on the board than Santanyi.
- 33% — that's where the model lands on Alcudia taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Alcudia Clean Sheet 68%
Santanyi Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Alcudia | Santanyi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 35 | 38 |
| Wins | 16 | 13 |
| Draws | 6 | 10 |
| Losses | 13 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.6 | 1.26 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.49 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 19, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Alcudia vs Santanyi
1:2
Mar 21, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Alcudia vs Santanyi
1:1
Nov 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Santanyi vs Alcudia
3:2
Mar 8, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Alcudia vs Santanyi
1:0
Oct 26, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Santanyi vs Alcudia
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Alcudia Compare
Top Goalscorer Ripoll M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91
Santanyi Compare
Top Goalscorer Exposito A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Alcudia 59 / 100
Santanyi 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Alcudia Santanyi
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Alcudia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Alcudia scored in 83% of their last 35 games.
Defensive concern: Santanyi conceded in 84% of 38 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.80 goals.
Alcudia went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Alcudia VS Santanyi
1.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Alcudia
(Home) 19 Sept
Alcudia
1 : 2 Santanyi
12 Sept
Arenal
1 : 2 Alcudia
06 Sept
Alcudia
5 : 0 Inter Ibiza
10 May
Mercadal
3 : 2 Alcudia
03 May
Alcudia
1 : 1 Binissalem
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19 Sept
Alcudia
1 : 2 Santanyi
06 Sept
Alcudia
5 : 0 Inter Ibiza
03 May
Alcudia
1 : 1 Binissalem
18 Apr
Alcudia
2 : 2 Pena Deportiva
01 Apr
Alcudia
1 : 2 Rotlet Molinar
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Santanyi
(Away) 19 Sept
Alcudia
1 : 2 Santanyi
13 Sept
Santanyi
1 : 1 Constancia
06 Sept
Cardassar
0 : 0 Santanyi
30 Aug
Andratx
2 : 1 Santanyi
29 Aug
Collerense
1 : 2 Santanyi
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19 Sept
Alcudia
1 : 2 Santanyi
06 Sept
Cardassar
0 : 0 Santanyi
30 Aug
Andratx
2 : 1 Santanyi
29 Aug
Collerense
1 : 2 Santanyi
01 Aug
Baleares
4 : 1 Santanyi
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mallorca B | 34 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 105:22 | 84 |
| 2 | Manacor | 34 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 71:39 | 77 |
| 3 | Pena Deportiva | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 69:30 | 68 |
| 4 | Constancia | 34 | 19 | 5 | 10 | 62:29 | 62 |
| 5 | Llosetense | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 59:40 | 58 |
| 6 | Formentera | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 40:29 | 52 |
| 7 | Inter Ibiza | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 42:43 | 50 |
| 8 | Mercadal | 34 | 15 | 4 | 15 | 31:45 | 49 |
| 9 | Cardassar | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 38:55 | 44 |
| 10 | Platges de Calvia | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 41:43 | 42 |
| 11 | Binissalem | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 26:34 | 41 |
| 12 | Santanyi | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 43:58 | 41 |
| 13 | Alcudia | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 37:62 | 38 |
| 14 | CD Son Cladera | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 41:63 | 38 |
| 15 | Portmany | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 25:50 | 30 |
| 16 | Collerense | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 41:64 | 28 |
| 17 | Felanitx | 34 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 32:62 | 26 |
| 18 | Rotlet Molinar | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 34:69 | 23 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
