Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 11

Alcudia

1 - 1

Santanyi

Our Tip

Match Events

42'

Ripoll M.

49'

Exposito A.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 11 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Alcudia

33%

Draws

27%

Santanyi

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Alcudia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Form's been kind to Alcudia lately — more wins on the board than Santanyi.
40% — that's where the model lands on Alcudia taking it.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%

Alcudia Clean Sheet 68%

Santanyi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Alcudia	Santanyi
Matches Played	31	31
Wins	12	10
Draws	5	8
Losses	14	13
Goals Scored	1.25	1.13
Goals Conceded	2.13	1.38
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.13	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11

Alcudia vs Santanyi

Possession: 47% - 56% Cards: 1 - 3

1:1

Nov 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11

Santanyi vs Alcudia

Possession: 52% - 54% Cards: 2 - 2

3:2

Mar 8, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11

Alcudia vs Santanyi

Possession: 45% - 52% Cards: 1 - 1

1:0

Oct 26, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11

Santanyi vs Alcudia

Possession: 54% - 53% Cards: 3 - 3

3:0

Mar 9, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11

Santanyi vs Alcudia

Possession: 56% - 56% Cards: 3 - 0

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alcudia Compare

Top Goalscorer Ripoll M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

Santanyi Compare

Top Goalscorer Exposito A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alcudia 50 / 100

Santanyi 26 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Alcudia Santanyi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALC Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alcudia scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

Defensive concern: Santanyi conceded in 77% of 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Alcudia went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Alcudia VS Santanyi

1.25 Goals Scored 1.13

2.13 Goals Conceded 1.38

88% Over 1.5 75%

63% Over 2.5 50%

50% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Mallorca B	34	26	6	2	105:22	84
2	Manacor	34	24	5	5	71:39	77
3	Pena Deportiva	34	20	8	6	69:30	68
4	Constancia	34	19	5	10	62:29	62
5	Llosetense	34	16	10	8	59:40	58
6	Formentera	34	13	13	8	40:29	52
7	Inter Ibiza	34	15	5	14	42:43	50
8	Mercadal	34	15	4	15	31:45	49
9	Cardassar	34	12	8	14	38:55	44
10	Platges de Calvia	34	12	6	16	41:43	42
11	Binissalem	34	10	11	13	26:34	41
12	Santanyi	34	11	8	15	43:58	41
13	Alcudia	34	11	5	18	37:62	38
14	CD Son Cladera	34	11	5	18	41:63	38
15	Portmany	34	8	6	20	25:50	30
16	Collerense	34	6	10	18	41:64	28
17	Felanitx	34	5	11	18	32:62	26
18	Rotlet Molinar	34	5	8	21	34:69	23