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Stadium Background

Alcudia vs Son Ferrer

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 11 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Alcudia in this Tercera Division - Group 11 2012/2013 matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Alcudia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Alcudia
6%
Draws
4%
Son Ferrer
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Alcudia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Alcudia lately — more wins on the board than Son Ferrer.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Alcudia taking it.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 11 2012/2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Alcudia have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Alcudia Clean Sheet 20%
Son Ferrer Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alcudia Son Ferrer
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 1
Draws 5 1
Losses 14 28
Goals Scored 1 0
Goals Conceded 1 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 17, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Alcudia vs Son Ferrer
4:2
Oct 7, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Son Ferrer vs Alcudia
0:1
Apr 15, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Alcudia vs Son Ferrer
0:1
Nov 12, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Son Ferrer vs Alcudia
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alcudia 85 / 100
Son Ferrer 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alcudia Son Ferrer

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Son Ferrer conceded in 100% of 30 recent games.

Son Ferrer's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Alcudia's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Scoring Trends

Alcudia VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Alcudia

(Home)
10 May
Mercadal
3 : 2
Alcudia
03 May
Alcudia
1 : 1
Binissalem
26 Apr
Felanitx
0 : 2
Alcudia
18 Apr
Alcudia
2 : 2
Pena Deportiva
11 Apr
Portmany
3 : 1
Alcudia
Page 1 of 7

Son Ferrer

(Away)
19 May
Son Ferrer
0 : 1
Andratx
12 May
Espana
6 : 1
Son Ferrer
05 May
Son Ferrer
0 : 4
Penya Ciutadella Esportiva
28 Apr
Soller
3 : 1
Son Ferrer
21 Apr
Son Ferrer
1 : 2
Atletico Isleno
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Pena Deportiva38266669:3084
2UD Poblense382261053:2972
3Formentera381911862:2868
4Alcudia381991048:2866
5Campos381714737:2365
6Manacor381771449:4858
7El Espinar Sant Rafel3814131148:3755
8Llosetense3814131157:4855
9Penya Ciutadella Esportiva3814111348:3853
10Collerense3813121338:4151
11Ferriolense381491553:4951
12Mercadal3813111439:5450
13CD Montuiri3812131340:3849
14Santanyi3811131449:5446
15Felanitx3811111639:4944
16Atletico Isleno3810131539:4543
17Andratx3811101753:6143
18Espana389131638:4940
19Soller388121849:6336
20Son Ferrer38133420:1166
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)