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Alcudia vs Son Ferrer

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 11 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Alcudia in this Tercera Division - Group 11 2012/2013 matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Alcudia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Alcudia
15%
Draws
0%
Son Ferrer
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alcudia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Alcudia lately — more wins on the board than Son Ferrer.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Alcudia taking it.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 11 2012/2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Alcudia have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Alcudia Clean Sheet 19%
Son Ferrer Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alcudia Son Ferrer
Matches Played 42 31
Wins 19 2
Draws 6 1
Losses 17 28
Goals Scored 1.5 0.61
Goals Conceded 1.48 3.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 17, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Alcudia vs Son Ferrer
4:2
Oct 7, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Son Ferrer vs Alcudia
0:1
Apr 15, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Alcudia vs Son Ferrer
0:1
Nov 12, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Son Ferrer vs Alcudia
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alcudia 85 / 100
Son Ferrer 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alcudia Son Ferrer

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alcudia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Son Ferrer conceded in 100% of 31 recent games.

Son Ferrer's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Alcudia's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 42 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Scoring Trends

Alcudia VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Alcudia

(Home)
19 Sept
Alcudia
1 : 2
Santanyi
12 Sept
Arenal
1 : 2
Alcudia
06 Sept
Alcudia
5 : 0
Inter Ibiza
10 May
Mercadal
3 : 2
Alcudia
03 May
Alcudia
1 : 1
Binissalem
Page 1 of 9

Son Ferrer

(Away)
19 May
Son Ferrer
0 : 1
Andratx
12 May
Espana
6 : 1
Son Ferrer
05 May
Son Ferrer
0 : 4
Penya Ciutadella Esportiva
28 Apr
Soller
3 : 1
Son Ferrer
21 Apr
Son Ferrer
1 : 2
Atletico Isleno
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pena Deportiva 38 26 6 6 69:30 84
2 UD Poblense 38 22 6 10 53:29 72
3 Formentera 38 19 11 8 62:28 68
4 Alcudia 38 19 9 10 48:28 66
5 Campos 38 17 14 7 37:23 65
6 Manacor 38 17 7 14 49:48 58
7 El Espinar Sant Rafel 38 14 13 11 48:37 55
8 Llosetense 38 14 13 11 57:48 55
9 Penya Ciutadella Esportiva 38 14 11 13 48:38 53
10 Collerense 38 13 12 13 38:41 51
11 Ferriolense 38 14 9 15 53:49 51
12 Mercadal 38 13 11 14 39:54 50
13 CD Montuiri 38 12 13 13 40:38 49
14 Santanyi 38 11 13 14 49:54 46
15 Felanitx 38 11 11 16 39:49 44
16 Atletico Isleno 38 10 13 15 39:45 43
17 Andratx 38 11 10 17 53:61 43
18 Espana 38 9 13 16 38:49 40
19 Soller 38 8 12 18 49:63 36
20 Son Ferrer 38 1 3 34 20:116 6
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)