Sport Picks
Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Zacatecas Mineros - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Mexico
Liga de Expansion MX Estadio Tecnológico de Oaxaca, Oaxaca de Juárez 
Match Events
39'
39'
Bustos J.
46'
46'
Sub
Justo A. In: Tecpanecatl A.
Out: Justo A.
59'
59'
Sub
Perez M. In: Machado J.
Out: Perez M.
AI Match Summary
The Liga de Expansion MX game between Alebrijes de Oaxaca and Zacatecas Mineros finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alebrijes de Oaxaca.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
78%
15%
7%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alebrijes de Oaxaca
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
78%
/ Very High Confidence
- Zacatecas Mineros's 1.55 goals per match outpaces what Alebrijes de Oaxaca have produced (1.2).
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Alebrijes de Oaxaca Clean Sheet 11%
Zacatecas Mineros Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Alebrijes de Oaxaca | Zacatecas Mineros |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 11 | 11 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 13 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.2 | 1.55 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.83 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 30, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Zacatecas Mineros
1:0
Jan 31, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Zacatecas Mineros
2:0
Aug 24, 2025 Liga de Expansion MX
Zacatecas Mineros vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca
2:2
Jan 18, 2025 Liga de Expansion MX
Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Zacatecas Mineros
0:1
Aug 3, 2024 Liga de Expansion MX
Zacatecas Mineros vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Alebrijes de Oaxaca Compare
Top Goalscorer Bustos J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Zacatecas Mineros Compare
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Alebrijes de Oaxaca 29 / 100
Zacatecas Mineros 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Alebrijes de Oaxaca Zacatecas Mineros
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Alebrijes de Oaxaca Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Alebrijes de Oaxaca's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Zacatecas Mineros let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.
H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.
Alebrijes de Oaxaca went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Alebrijes de Oaxaca VS Zacatecas Mineros
1 Goals Scored 1.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
(Home) 30 Oct
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1 : 0 Zacatecas Mineros
23 Oct
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
2 : 1 Cruz Azul Hidalgo
18 Oct
Leones Negros
1 : 2 Alebrijes de Oaxaca
09 Oct
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
2 : 1 Correcaminos
04 Oct
Piratas
4 : 0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca
Page 1 of 6
30 Oct
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1 : 0 Zacatecas Mineros
23 Oct
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
2 : 1 Cruz Azul Hidalgo
09 Oct
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
2 : 1 Correcaminos
25 Sept
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1 : 3 Atletico La Paz
11 Sept
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1 : 0 Alacranes de Durango
Page 1 of 4
Zacatecas Mineros
(Away) 30 Oct
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1 : 0 Zacatecas Mineros
25 Oct
Zacatecas Mineros
0 : 2 Leones Negros
17 Oct
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
2 : 1 Zacatecas Mineros
11 Oct
Zacatecas Mineros
2 : 2 Cancun
04 Oct
Alacranes de Durango
4 : 2 Zacatecas Mineros
Page 1 of 7
30 Oct
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1 : 0 Zacatecas Mineros
17 Oct
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
2 : 1 Zacatecas Mineros
04 Oct
Alacranes de Durango
4 : 2 Zacatecas Mineros
19 Sept
Tepatitlan de Morelos
0 : 1 Zacatecas Mineros
05 Sept
Atletico La Paz
3 : 0 Zacatecas Mineros
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico La Paz | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 36:18 | 30 |
| 2 | Leones Negros | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 34:20 | 30 |
| 3 | Club Atletico Morelia | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 26:19 | 26 |
| 4 | Piratas | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 27:15 | 25 |
| 5 | Cancun | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 28:18 | 25 |
| 6 | Venados FC | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 31:25 | 25 |
| 7 | Alacranes de Durango | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 21:15 | 24 |
| 8 | Tlaxcala | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 29:27 | 22 |
| 9 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 15:25 | 22 |
| 10 | Zacatecas Mineros | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 26:26 | 18 |
| 11 | Tapatio | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 25:28 | 18 |
| 12 | Correcaminos | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 21:24 | 17 |
| 13 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 23:32 | 16 |
| 14 | Jaiba Brava | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 15:25 | 15 |
| 15 | Cruz Azul Hidalgo | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17:24 | 14 |
| 16 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 15 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 11:44 | 7 |
Promotion - Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura - Play Offs)
