Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ales vs Lyon II

France France

National 2 - Group C 2022/2023
Ales Logo

Ales

1 - 1
FT
Lyon II Logo

Lyon II

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this National 2 - Group C 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Ales
15%
Draws
46%
Lyon II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lyon II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ales lately — more wins on the board than Lyon II.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular National 2 - Group C 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Ales Clean Sheet 19%
Lyon II Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ales Lyon II
Matches Played 35 31
Wins 12 11
Draws 10 7
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.26 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 15, 2023 National 1 - Group C
Ales vs Lyon II
1:1
Nov 12, 2022 National 1 - Group C
Lyon II vs Ales
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ales 36 / 100
Lyon II 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ales Lyon II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lyon II Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ales found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (35 games).

Lyon II has conceded goals in 71% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Ales has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ales VS Lyon II
0.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ales

(Home)
30 Nov
Ales
1 : 5
Cannes
16 Nov
Ales
4 : 2
Beaucairois
18 May
Bourgoin Jallieu
0 : 0
Ales
11 May
Ales
2 : 1
Toulouse II
27 Apr
Chamalieres
0 : 2
Ales
Page 1 of 7

Lyon II

(Away)
07 May
Nottingham U21
1 : 0
Lyon II
22 Apr
Fulham U21
0 : 2
Lyon II
11 Mar
Lyon II
3 : 0
Valencia B
03 Dec
West Ham U21
0 : 2
Lyon II
30 Oct
Middlesbrough U21
0 : 1
Lyon II
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Marignane GCB 30 16 8 6 37:23 56
2 Jura Sud 30 15 7 8 45:34 52
3 RC Grasse 30 14 9 7 49:33 51
4 Thonon-Evian 30 15 6 9 41:28 51
5 Lyon - La Duchere 30 15 6 9 46:33 51
6 Frejus Saint Raphael 30 11 12 7 32:25 45
7 Hyeres 30 11 9 10 40:33 42
8 Auxerre II 30 10 11 9 37:30 41
9 Toulon 30 11 5 14 38:41 38
10 Ales 30 11 10 9 41:36 38
11 Aubagne FC 30 9 10 11 39:46 37
12 Louhans Cuiseaux 30 9 9 12 45:47 36
13 Canet Roussillon 30 10 8 12 26:28 35
14 Lyon II 30 8 8 14 36:45 32
15 Saint Priest 30 6 11 13 38:45 29
16 Sete 30 3 3 24 23:86 12
Promotion - National 2023/2024 (Main)