Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ales vs Toulouse II

France France

National 2 - Group A 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Kamate A.
8' Event
Balmy J.
45' Event
Baana W.

AI Match Summary

The National 2 - Group A 2023/2024 game between Ales and Toulouse II finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ales.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Ales
30%
Draws
12%
Toulouse II
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ales

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ales come out ahead of Toulouse II on wins alone.
  • Ales are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Ales Clean Sheet 20%
Toulouse II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ales Toulouse II
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 1
Draws 7 10
Losses 13 19
Goals Scored 1.2 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.63 2.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2024 National 1 - Group A
Ales vs Toulouse II
2:1
Jan 13, 2024 National 1 - Group A
Toulouse II vs Ales
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ales Compare

Top Goalscorer Balmy J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Baana W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Toulouse II Compare

Top Goalscorer Kamate A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ales 76 / 100
Toulouse II 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ales Toulouse II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ales Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Toulouse II's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Ales found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Ales went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ales VS Toulouse II
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 3
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Ales

(Home)
30 Nov
Ales
1 : 5
Cannes
16 Nov
Ales
4 : 2
Beaucairois
18 May
Bourgoin Jallieu
0 : 0
Ales
11 May
Ales
2 : 1
Toulouse II
27 Apr
Chamalieres
0 : 2
Ales
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Toulouse II

(Away)
17 Aug
Ath Bilbao B
1 : 1
Toulouse II
18 May
Toulouse II
1 : 2
Frejus Saint Raphael
11 May
Ales
2 : 1
Toulouse II
27 Apr
Toulouse II
0 : 4
Jura Sud
19 Apr
Andrezieux
0 : 0
Toulouse II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aubagne FC 26 14 10 2 33:17 52
2 Le Puy-en-Velay 26 12 10 4 39:24 46
3 RC Grasse 26 10 12 4 31:21 42
4 Jura Sud 26 10 11 5 34:23 41
5 Cannes 26 9 13 4 41:21 40
6 Hyeres 26 9 10 7 37:22 37
7 Frejus Saint Raphael 26 8 12 6 25:19 36
8 Toulon 26 9 8 9 30:29 35
9 Andrezieux 26 9 7 10 26:28 34
10 Ales 26 7 8 11 23:39 29
11 Thonon-Evian 26 7 7 12 27:35 28
12 Chamalieres 26 5 11 10 26:40 26
13 Bourgoin Jallieu 26 4 9 13 24:43 21
14 Toulouse II 26 1 8 17 24:59 11
Promotion - National 2024/2025 (Main)