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Alessandria vs Renate

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

38'
Vassallo F.
42'
Gega E.
43'
Baldassin L.

AI Match Summary

Renate in this Serie C - Group A 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Renate.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Alessandria
20%
Draws
20%
Renate
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Alessandria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Renate lately — more wins on the board than Alessandria.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Alessandria taking it.
  • Regular Serie C - Group A 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 90%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Alessandria Clean Sheet 68%
Renate Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alessandria Renate
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 4 13
Draws 5 8
Losses 20 9
Goals Scored 0.55 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.74
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 17, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Alessandria vs Renate
0:1
Nov 12, 2023 Serie C - Group A
Renate vs Alessandria
0:2
Nov 16, 2022 Coppa Italia Serie C
Alessandria vs Renate
0:2
Jul 28, 2021 Club Friendly
Alessandria vs Renate
4:1
Mar 18, 2021 Serie C - Group A
Alessandria vs Renate
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alessandria Compare

Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Renate Compare

Top Goalscorer Bocalon R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alessandria 50 / 100
Renate 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alessandria Renate

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alessandria Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Renate has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Renate's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Alessandria's goal record stands at 45% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Alessandria VS Renate
1.2 Goals Scored 1.88
1.6 Goals Conceded 1.63
80% Over 1.5 100%
80% Over 2.5 75%
20% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Alessandria

(Home)
16 Sept
Millesimo
4 : 1
Alessandria
13 Sept
Alessandria
2 : 1
Sestri Levante
06 Sept
Valenzana
1 : 2
Alessandria
04 Aug
Alessandria
1 : 2
Juventus U23
28 Apr
Alessandria
1 : 2
Vicenza
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Renate

(Away)
20 Sept
Arzignano
2 : 1
Renate
17 Sept
Renate
0 : 0
Dolomiti Bellunesi
13 Sept
Lumezzane
2 : 2
Renate
07 Sept
Renate
1 : 2
Novara
03 Sept
Cittadella
4 : 1
Renate
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mantova 38 24 8 6 72:31 80
2 Padova 38 21 14 3 55:28 77
3 Vicenza 38 20 11 7 52:30 71
4 Triestina 38 19 7 12 61:44 64
5 Atalanta U23 38 16 11 11 43:36 59
6 Legnago Salus 38 13 17 8 46:39 56
7 Giana Erminio 38 15 8 15 46:44 53
8 Pro Vercelli 38 14 11 13 50:47 53
9 Lumezzane 38 15 8 15 49:48 53
10 Trento 38 13 12 13 34:37 51
11 Virtus Verona 38 12 11 15 35:43 47
12 Pro Patria 38 12 10 16 37:51 46
13 AlbinoLeffe 38 10 15 13 34:37 45
14 Pergolettese 38 13 6 19 44:50 45
15 Renate 38 11 12 15 35:46 45
16 Arzignano 38 10 14 14 32:37 44
17 Novara 38 8 19 11 39:49 43
18 Fiorenzuola 38 10 8 20 38:62 38
19 Pro Sesto 38 7 14 17 25:40 35
20 Alessandria 38 5 8 25 20:48 20
Promotion - Serie B 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A 2023/2024 (Play Out)