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Stadium Background

Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) vs Pacifico

Peru Peru

Segunda Division 2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Segunda Division 2014 game between Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) and Pacifico finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alfonso Ugarte (Puno).

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)
33%
Draws
40%
Pacifico
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Pacifico

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Pacifico taking it.
  • Regular Segunda Division 2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) Clean Sheet 16%
Pacifico Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) Pacifico
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 10 8
Draws 9 8
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 1.75 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.5 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 14, 2014 Liga 2
Pacifico vs Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)
3:2
Jul 20, 2014 Liga 2
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) vs Pacifico
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) 28 / 100
Pacifico 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) Pacifico

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Pacifico conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) scored in 76% of their last 34 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Pacifico's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) VS Pacifico
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)

(Home)
30 Sept
Santos FC
3 : 0
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)
18 Sept
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)
0 : 3
Juan Aurich
13 Sept
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)
1 : 1
Ayacucho
05 Sept
Carlos Stein
3 : 0
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)
31 Aug
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)
3 : 1
U. San Martin
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Pacifico

(Away)
08 Dec
Pacifico
2 : 2
Nacional FBC
30 Nov
Nacional FBC
2 : 1
Pacifico
30 Nov
Pacifico
0 : 1
Deportivo Coopsol
23 Nov
Comerciantes Unidos
5 : 1
Pacifico
14 Nov
Pacifico
3 : 2
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Dep. Municipal30187549:2961
2Deportivo Coopsol30177653:2658
3Carlos Mannucci30174946:3255
4Alianza Huanuco30158751:3053
5Willy Serrato301210844:3746
6Union Huaral301171238:3740
7Defensor San Alejandro301091137:3739
8Atl. Minero301091130:4039
9Atletico Torino309101137:3437
10Pacifico30981333:4435
11Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)301161336:5035
12Sport Boys30813942:4733
13Sport Victoria307101331:3831
14Comerciantes Unidos30791429:3630
15Jose Galvez307101325:3925
16Walter Ormeno30491721:4619
Promotion - Primera Division 2015 (Apertura)