Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Algarna-Harnosand vs Boden

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norrland 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Faustini R.
88' Event
Faustini R.
(Penalty)
90' Event
Moreno I.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Norrland 2024 game between Algarna-Harnosand and Boden finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Boden.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Algarna-Harnosand
15%
Draws
85%
Boden
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Boden

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Algarna-Harnosand haven't matched Boden's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Boden's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Boden have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39.2%
Algarna-Harnosand Clean Sheet 23%
Boden Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Algarna-Harnosand Boden
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 2 13
Draws 4 7
Losses 22 11
Goals Scored 1.36 1.52
Goals Conceded 3.07 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 12, 2024 Division 2 - Norrland
Algarna-Harnosand vs Boden
0:3
May 25, 2024 Division 2 - Norrland
Boden vs Algarna-Harnosand
3:1
Sep 10, 2022 Division 2 - Norrland
Boden vs Algarna-Harnosand
3:2
May 21, 2022 Division 2 - Norrland
Algarna-Harnosand vs Boden
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Algarna-Harnosand Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Boden Compare

Top Goalscorer Faustini R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Moreno I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Algarna-Harnosand 10 / 100
Boden 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Algarna-Harnosand Boden

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Boden Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Algarna-Harnosand found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (28 games).

These sides typically produce 3.25 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Boden conceded in 77% of 31 recent games.

Difficult form: Boden registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Boden
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Algarna-Harnosand

(Home)
19 Oct
Umea FF
4 : 0
Algarna-Harnosand
12 Oct
Algarna-Harnosand
0 : 3
Boden
06 Oct
Gottne IF
7 : 2
Algarna-Harnosand
28 Sept
Algarna-Harnosand
1 : 3
IFK Lulea
21 Sept
Algarna-Harnosand
0 : 3
Skelleftea
Page 1 of 6

Boden

(Away)
19 Sept
Boden
0 : 2
Skelleftea
16 Sept
Boden
1 : 0
IFK Lulea
12 Sept
Kubikenborgs
6 : 1
Boden
05 Sept
Boden
1 : 2
Kubikenborgs
29 Aug
Skelleftea
2 : 2
Boden
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Umea FF 26 21 3 2 86:19 66
2 Boden 26 21 3 2 75:24 66
3 Bergnasets AIK 26 16 2 8 53:46 50
4 Skelleftea 26 14 5 7 54:32 47
5 IFK Ostersund 26 13 5 8 50:35 44
6 Ytterhogdal 26 13 5 8 44:36 44
7 IFK Lulea 26 11 7 8 40:41 40
8 Gottne IF 26 10 6 10 44:37 36
9 Umea FC Akademi 26 8 3 15 40:62 27
10 Kiruna 26 7 5 14 23:49 26
11 Lucksta IF 26 7 4 15 43:62 25
12 Taftea IK 26 7 3 16 38:56 24
13 Froso IF 26 4 2 20 33:78 14
14 Algarna-Harnosand 26 2 3 21 34:80 9
15 Sandvik 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland 2024 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norrland 2024 (Relegation)