Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Algarna-Harnosand vs Taftea IK

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norrland 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Svensson H.
19' Event
Andersson A.
21' Event
Afzali M.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Norrland 2024 game between Algarna-Harnosand and Taftea IK finished 3-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Taftea IK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Algarna-Harnosand
15%
Draws
85%
Taftea IK
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Taftea IK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Taftea IK carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Taftea IK taking it.
  • Regular Division 2 - Norrland 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Algarna-Harnosand Clean Sheet 20%
Taftea IK Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Algarna-Harnosand Taftea IK
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 2 18
Draws 4 1
Losses 22 12
Goals Scored 1.36 2.23
Goals Conceded 3.07 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2024 Division 2 - Norrland
Algarna-Harnosand vs Taftea IK
3:4
Apr 27, 2024 Division 2 - Norrland
Taftea IK vs Algarna-Harnosand
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Algarna-Harnosand Compare

Top Goalscorer Svensson H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Afzali M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Taftea IK Compare

Top Goalscorer Andersson A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Amaal A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Algarna-Harnosand 10 / 100
Taftea IK 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Algarna-Harnosand Taftea IK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Taftea IK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Algarna-Harnosand found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Taftea IK conceded in 81% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 5.50 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Taftea IK has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Taftea IK
0 Goals Scored 3.25
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Algarna-Harnosand

(Home)
19 Oct
Umea FF
4 : 0
Algarna-Harnosand
12 Oct
Algarna-Harnosand
0 : 3
Boden
06 Oct
Gottne IF
7 : 2
Algarna-Harnosand
28 Sept
Algarna-Harnosand
1 : 3
IFK Lulea
21 Sept
Algarna-Harnosand
0 : 3
Skelleftea
Page 1 of 6

Taftea IK

(Away)
20 Sept
Taftea IK
2 : 1
IFK Ostersund
16 Sept
Skelleftea
1 : 2
Taftea IK
12 Sept
Taftea IK
1 : 2
IFK Lulea
05 Sept
IFK Lulea
2 : 1
Taftea IK
30 Aug
IFK Ostersund
6 : 2
Taftea IK
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Umea FF 26 21 3 2 86:19 66
2 Boden 26 21 3 2 75:24 66
3 Bergnasets AIK 26 16 2 8 53:46 50
4 Skelleftea 26 14 5 7 54:32 47
5 IFK Ostersund 26 13 5 8 50:35 44
6 Ytterhogdal 26 13 5 8 44:36 44
7 IFK Lulea 26 11 7 8 40:41 40
8 Gottne IF 26 10 6 10 44:37 36
9 Umea FC Akademi 26 8 3 15 40:62 27
10 Kiruna 26 7 5 14 23:49 26
11 Lucksta IF 26 7 4 15 43:62 25
12 Taftea IK 26 7 3 16 38:56 24
13 Froso IF 26 4 2 20 33:78 14
14 Algarna-Harnosand 26 2 3 21 34:80 9
15 Sandvik 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland 2024 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norrland 2024 (Relegation)