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Algeria vs Rwanda Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Friendly International 2025 Stade Mustapha Tchaker, Blida
Our Tip

Match Events

22'
Ngwabije B.
40' Event
Berkane R.
Penalty Missed
40' Event
Boulbina A.

AI Match Summary

Algeria in this Friendly International 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Algeria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Algeria
30%
Draws
43%
Rwanda
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Rwanda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Algeria lately — more wins on the board than Rwanda.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Friendly International 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Algeria have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 60%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Algeria Clean Sheet 21%
Rwanda Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Algeria Rwanda
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 18 12
Draws 8 5
Losses 5 11
Goals Scored 1.87 1.07
Goals Conceded 0.81 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.08 1.16
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 9, 2025 Friendly International
Algeria vs Rwanda
2:0
Jun 5, 2025 Friendly International
Algeria vs Rwanda
2:0
Jun 16, 2013 World Championship
Rwanda vs Algeria
0:1
Jun 2, 2012 World Championship
Algeria vs Rwanda
4:0
Oct 11, 2009 World Championship
Algeria vs Rwanda
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Algeria Compare

Top Goalscorer Boulbina A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Khacef N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.83
Avg xA / game 0.54

Rwanda Compare

Avg xG / game 1.05
Avg xA / game 0.64

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Algeria 32 / 100
Rwanda 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Algeria Rwanda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rwanda Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Algeria found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).

Defensive concern: Rwanda conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Algeria has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Algeria VS Rwanda
1.88 Goals Scored 1.57
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.29
63% Over 1.5 57%
50% Over 2.5 43%
25% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Algeria

(Home)
29 Sept
Burundi
2 : 2
Algeria
25 Sept
Algeria
3 : 1
Zambia
03 Jul
Switzerland
2 : 0
Algeria
28 Jun
Algeria
3 : 3
Austria
23 Jun
Jordan
1 : 2
Algeria
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Rwanda

(Away)
05 Oct
Rwanda
0 : 0
Kenya
29 Sept
Cape Verde
1 : 2
Rwanda
25 Sept
Rwanda
3 : 1
Liberia
30 Mar
Rwanda
2 : 0
Estonia
27 Mar
Rwanda
4 : 0
Grenada
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