Sport Picks

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Aliados Lordelo vs Padroense

Portugal Portugal

Second Division - Zona Centro 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Padroense in this Second Division - Zona Centro 2011/2012 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Padroense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Aliados Lordelo
15%
Draws
34%
Padroense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aliados Lordelo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Aliados Lordelo lately — more wins on the board than Padroense.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Second Division - Zona Centro 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Aliados Lordelo Clean Sheet 18%
Padroense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aliados Lordelo Padroense
Matches Played 31 33
Wins 11 7
Draws 5 5
Losses 15 21
Goals Scored 1.26 0.91
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 18, 2012 Second Division - Zona Centro
Aliados Lordelo vs Padroense
0:1
Oct 9, 2011 Second Division - Zona Centro
Padroense vs Aliados Lordelo
2:1
Mar 12, 2011 Second Division - Zona Centro
Padroense vs Aliados Lordelo
0:2
Nov 14, 2010 Second Division - Zona Centro
Aliados Lordelo vs Padroense
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aliados Lordelo 31 / 100
Padroense 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aliados Lordelo Padroense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aliados Lordelo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aliados Lordelo found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (31 games).

Padroense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 33 matches.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Padroense has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Aliados Lordelo VS Padroense
1.33 Goals Scored 0.63
2 Goals Conceded 2
67% Over 1.5 88%
67% Over 2.5 50%
67% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Aliados Lordelo

(Home)
10 Sept
Aliados Lordelo
1 : 3
SC Vianense
21 Sept
Oriental
1 : 0
Aliados Lordelo
01 Sept
Aliados Lordelo
3 : 2
Manteigas
21 Oct
Aliados Lordelo
0 : 2
Oliveirense
16 Sept
Aliados Lordelo
2 : 1
Sertanense
Page 1 of 7

Padroense

(Away)
28 Apr
Padroense
1 : 2
Tirsense
21 Apr
Infesta
2 : 1
Padroense
14 Apr
Padroense
2 : 2
AD Fafe
07 Apr
Ribeirao
3 : 0
Padroense
30 Mar
Padroense
4 : 0
AD Limianos
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tondela 30 19 6 5 49:22 63
2 SC Espinho 30 19 5 6 50:32 62
3 Operario 30 15 7 8 34:26 52
4 Boavista 30 15 5 10 43:31 50
5 Amarante FC 30 13 10 7 48:30 49
6 Sao Joao de Ver 30 15 4 11 43:46 49
7 Gondomar 30 13 5 12 27:31 44
8 Cinfaes 30 12 7 11 35:40 43
9 Coimbroes 30 9 15 6 30:31 42
10 Anadia 30 11 7 12 45:42 40
11 Padroense 30 11 6 13 47:50 39
12 Aliados Lordelo 30 10 7 13 41:40 37
13 Oliv. Bairro 30 7 7 16 34:50 28
14 SC Angrense 30 5 8 17 36:49 23
15 Paredes 30 6 5 19 30:50 23
16 FC Madalena 30 5 6 19 32:54 21
Promotion - Second Division - Zona Centro 2011/2012 (Main)