Sport Picks
Match Events
45'
45'
Milasevics M.
56'
56'
Zuromskis A.
59'
59'
Sidorovs M.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-2, with LDZ Cargo/DFA advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
38%
15%
47%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: LDZ Cargo/DFA
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Aliance carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives LDZ Cargo/DFA a 47% chance of winning this.
- Aliance have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor LDZ Cargo/DFA, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 93%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 93%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Aliance Clean Sheet 10%
LDZ Cargo/DFA Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Aliance | LDZ Cargo/DFA |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 18 | 4 |
| Wins | 7 | 3 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 11 | 1 |
| Goals Scored | 3.06 | 4 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.5 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 3.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 19, 2019 Latvian Cup
Aliance vs LDZ Cargo/DFA
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Aliance Compare
Top Goalscorer Milasevics M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
LDZ Cargo/DFA Compare
Top Goalscorer Zuromskis A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Stasko A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.24
Avg xA / game 1.98
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Aliance 22 / 100
LDZ Cargo/DFA 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Aliance LDZ Cargo/DFA
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick LDZ Cargo/DFA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Aliance scored in 72% of their last 18 games.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Solid form: Aliance remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
LDZ Cargo/DFA let in goals in 50% of their last 4 matches.
Scoring Trends
Aliance VS LDZ Cargo/DFA
1.13 Goals Scored 4
3.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Aliance
(Home) 19 Jun
Marupe
4 : 2 Aliance
30 May
Valka
1 : 5 Aliance
31 May
Aliance
0 : 6 JFK Ventspils
17 May
Valka
1 : 9 Aliance
05 May
Talsi
1 : 5 Aliance
Page 1 of 4
31 May
Aliance
0 : 6 JFK Ventspils
18 May
Aliance
20 : 0 FK Limbazi
10 Jun
Aliance
0 : 2 Dinamo Riga
27 May
Aliance
4 : 0 Kadaga/Ostas
21 May
Aliance
1 : 4 FK Limbazi
Page 1 of 2
LDZ Cargo/DFA
(Away) 17 Jul
FK Karosta
4 : 1 LDZ Cargo/DFA
30 Jun
LDZ Cargo/DFA
6 : 0 FK Alberts
19 Jun
Aliance
1 : 2 LDZ Cargo/DFA
25 May
LDZ Cargo/DFA
7 : 0 Monarhs
17 Jul
FK Karosta
4 : 1 LDZ Cargo/DFA
19 Jun
Aliance
1 : 2 LDZ Cargo/DFA
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
RFS -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Valmiera -
FK Smiltene -
TBD -
TBD -
Ghetto / Gvatar -
Nikers -
TBD -
TBD -
Livani -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
Tukums 2000 -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Auda Riga -
Keiko Jekabpils -
TBD -
DSVK Traktors 1
Krimulda 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ventspils -
Super Nova -
TBD -
TBD -
Rezekne -
Kalupe 2
AFA Olaine 1
TBD -
New Project -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Riga FC -
FK Karosta 3
Riga United 1
TBD -
FK Madona Kvarcs -
Lubana -
TBD -
TBD -
Tente -
FK Alberts -
TBD -
TBD -
Lielupe -
Aliance 1
Talsu NSS / FK Laidze 0
Monarhs 0
LDZ Cargo/DFA 7
Alberts JDFS -
TBD -
TBD -
Dinamo Riga -
Albatroz -
TBD -
TBD -
Grobina -
Salaspils FK 4
Fk Jurnieks Riga 1
Jurmalas 1
Jauniba / Upesciems 2
Marupe -
TBD -
FK Limbazi 2
Caramba 8
BFC Daugavpils -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Spartaks Jurmala -
FK Metta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Jelgava -
1/32-finals
RFS -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Valmiera -
FK Smiltene 3
Ghetto / Gvatar 0
Nikers 1
Livani 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
Tukums 2000 5
FK Auda Riga 1
Keiko Jekabpils 2
Krimulda 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ventspils -
Super Nova 4
Rezekne 3
Kalupe 0
New Project 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Riga FC -
FK Karosta 8
FK Madona Kvarcs 1
Lubana 2
Tente 6
FK Alberts 2
Lielupe 1
Aliance 1
LDZ Cargo/DFA 2
Alberts JDFS 3
Dinamo Riga 1
Albatroz 1
Grobina 2
Salaspils FK 3
Jauniba / Upesciems 0
Marupe 3
Caramba 5
BFC Daugavpils -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Spartaks Jurmala -
FK Metta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Jelgava -
1/16-finals
RFS -
TBD -
TBD -
Valmiera -
FK Smiltene 7
Livani 0
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
Tukums 2000 9
Krimulda 1
TBD -
Ventspils -
Super Nova 2
New Project 1
TBD -
Riga FC -
FK Karosta 1
Tente 0
FK Alberts 0
LDZ Cargo/DFA 6
Alberts JDFS 4
Grobina 2
Salaspils FK 0
Caramba 1
BFC Daugavpils -
TBD -
TBD -
Spartaks Jurmala -
FK Metta -
TBD -
TBD -
Jelgava -
1/8-finals
RFS 2
Valmiera 1
FK Smiltene 0
FK Liepaja 4
Tukums 2000 4
Ventspils 1
Super Nova 0
Riga FC 6
FK Karosta 4
LDZ Cargo/DFA 1
Alberts JDFS 0
Caramba 1
BFC Daugavpils 1
Spartaks Jurmala 0
FK Metta 0
Jelgava 1
Quarter-finals
RFS 2
FK Liepaja 1
Tukums 2000 0
Riga FC 4
FK Karosta 2
Caramba 1
BFC Daugavpils 1
Jelgava 2
Semi-finals
RFS 3
Riga FC 1
FK Karosta 0
Jelgava 5
Final
RFS 3
Jelgava 2
