Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Alianza Atl. vs FC Cajamarca

Peru Peru

Liga 1 Estadio Campeones del 36, Sullana
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Lupu H.
Assist: Munoz A.
22' Event
Palacios B.
Assist: Lagos R.
32'
Sub
Munoz A. In: Perez J.
Out: Munoz A.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 1 game between Alianza Atl. and FC Cajamarca finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Alianza Atl.
11%
Draws
9%
FC Cajamarca
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Alianza Atl.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Alianza Atl. carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Alianza Atl.'s way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Alianza Atl. Clean Sheet 68%
FC Cajamarca Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alianza Atl. FC Cajamarca
Matches Played 34 28
Wins 12 9
Draws 9 8
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1 1.25
Goals Conceded 1 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Liga 1
Alianza Atl. vs FC Cajamarca
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alianza Atl. Compare

Top Goalscorer Lupu H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

FC Cajamarca Compare

Top Goalscorer Palacios B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alianza Atl. 86 / 100
FC Cajamarca 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alianza Atl. FC Cajamarca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Cajamarca let in goals in 89% of their last 28 matches.

Attacking prowess: Alianza Atl. scored in 68% of their last 34 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Alianza Atl. remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Alianza Atl. VS FC Cajamarca
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Alianza Atl.

(Home)
24 Jul
Alianza Atl.
3 : 1
Los Chankas
18 Jul
Cusco
4 : 1
Alianza Atl.
10 Jul
Alianza Atl.
3 : 2
Pirata
28 Jun
A. Lima
1 : 2
Alianza Atl.
19 Jun
Alianza Atl.
2 : 0
Cesar Vallejo
Page 1 of 7

FC Cajamarca

(Away)
27 Jul
Deportivo Garcilaso
2 : 1
FC Cajamarca
17 Jul
FC Cajamarca
2 : 2
Juan Pablo II
26 Jun
Cajamarca
3 : 1
FC Cajamarca
20 Jun
FC Cajamarca
1 : 1
Llacuabamba
31 May
FC Cajamarca
1 : 1
A. Lima
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1A. Lima17124130:840
2Los Chankas17104325:2134
3Cienciano17103434:2233
4Universitario de Deportes1785424:1529
5FBC Melgar1784529:2028
6Cusco1783621:2427
7Deportivo Garcilaso1775521:1826
8Alianza Atl.1756620:1821
9Comerciantes Unidos1756618:2021
10AD Tarma1755722:2120
11Sport Boys1755715:1920
12Sporting Cristal1754828:3019
13Cajamarca1746721:2618
14Moquegua1753917:2418
15FC Cajamarca1745823:2817
16Atletico Grau1744912:1816
17Sport Huancayo1744921:3116
18Juan Pablo II1744922:4016
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)