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Alianza Atl. vs Sport Boys

Peru Peru

Liga 1 Estadio Campeones del 36
Our Tip

Match Events

39'
Diaz G.
58'
Urciuoli F.
59'
Robaldo V.

AI Match Summary

Sport Boys in this Liga 1 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sport Boys.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Alianza Atl.
39%
Draws
31%
Sport Boys
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Alianza Atl. have won more games recently than Sport Boys.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Liga 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Alianza Atl. Clean Sheet 68%
Sport Boys Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alianza Atl. Sport Boys
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 12 9
Draws 8 7
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.13 1
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Liga 1
Alianza Atl. vs Sport Boys
0:1
Nov 16, 2025 Liga 1
Sport Boys vs Alianza Atl.
0:1
Jul 12, 2025 Liga 1
Alianza Atl. vs Sport Boys
1:0
Aug 24, 2024 Liga 1
Alianza Atl. vs Sport Boys
2:0
Mar 31, 2024 Liga 1
Sport Boys vs Alianza Atl.
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alianza Atl. Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sport Boys Compare

Top Goalscorer Riojas H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alianza Atl. 41 / 100
Sport Boys 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alianza Atl. Sport Boys

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alianza Atl. found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Recent resilience: Alianza Atl. stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Sport Boys conceded in 56% of 27 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Alianza Atl. VS Sport Boys
1.13 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.25
75% Over 1.5 25%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1A. Lima17124130:840
2Los Chankas17104325:2134
3Cienciano17103434:2233
4Universitario de Deportes1785424:1529
5FBC Melgar1784529:2028
6Cusco1783621:2427
7Deportivo Garcilaso1775521:1826
8Alianza Atl.1756620:1821
9Comerciantes Unidos1756618:2021
10AD Tarma1755722:2120
11Sport Boys1755715:1920
12Sporting Cristal1754828:3019
13Cajamarca1746721:2618
14Moquegua1753917:2418
15FC Cajamarca1745823:2817
16Atletico Grau1744912:1816
17Sport Huancayo1744921:3116
18Juan Pablo II1744922:4016