Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Alianza Atl. vs Sport Huancayo

Peru Peru

Liga 1 Estadio Campeones del 36, Sullana
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Valoyes J.
Assist: Carabano D.
16' Event
Larios Saavedra G. A.
Assist: Penilla C.
18'
Barreda J.

AI Match Summary

Alianza Atl. in this Liga 1 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Alianza Atl..

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Alianza Atl.
39%
Draws
30%
Sport Huancayo
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Alianza Atl. have won more games recently than Sport Huancayo.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Alianza Atl. Clean Sheet 14%
Sport Huancayo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alianza Atl. Sport Huancayo
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 11 9
Draws 8 5
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.38 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Liga 1
Alianza Atl. vs Sport Huancayo
4:1
Jul 18, 2025 Liga 1
Alianza Atl. vs Sport Huancayo
0:0
Feb 7, 2025 Liga 1
Sport Huancayo vs Alianza Atl.
2:1
Aug 5, 2024 Liga 1
Alianza Atl. vs Sport Huancayo
1:1
Feb 23, 2024 Liga 1
Sport Huancayo vs Alianza Atl.
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alianza Atl. Compare

Top Goalscorer Larios Saavedra G. A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Valladolid C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sport Huancayo Compare

Top Goalscorer Valoyes J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alianza Atl. 31 / 100
Sport Huancayo 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alianza Atl. Sport Huancayo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SPO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Sport Huancayo conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.

Alianza Atl. found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Alianza Atl. went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Alianza Atl. VS Sport Huancayo
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Alianza Atl.

(Home)
24 Jul
Alianza Atl.
3 : 1
Los Chankas
18 Jul
Cusco
4 : 1
Alianza Atl.
10 Jul
Alianza Atl.
3 : 2
Pirata
28 Jun
A. Lima
1 : 2
Alianza Atl.
19 Jun
Alianza Atl.
2 : 0
Cesar Vallejo
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Sport Huancayo

(Away)
25 Jul
Sport Huancayo
2 : 0
Atletico Grau
20 Jul
A. Lima
2 : 1
Sport Huancayo
11 Jul
Sport Huancayo
3 : 1
Los Chankas
26 Jun
Sport Huancayo
1 : 0
AD Tarma
21 Jun
Union Minas
1 : 2
Sport Huancayo
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1A. Lima17124130:840
2Los Chankas17104325:2134
3Cienciano17103434:2233
4Universitario de Deportes1785424:1529
5FBC Melgar1784529:2028
6Cusco1783621:2427
7Deportivo Garcilaso1775521:1826
8Alianza Atl.1756620:1821
9Comerciantes Unidos1756618:2021
10AD Tarma1755722:2120
11Sport Boys1755715:1920
12Sporting Cristal1754828:3019
13Cajamarca1746721:2618
14Moquegua1753917:2418
15FC Cajamarca1745823:2817
16Atletico Grau1744912:1816
17Sport Huancayo1744921:3116
18Juan Pablo II1744922:4016
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)