Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Alianza Huanuco vs Juan Pablo II

Peru Peru

Liga 1 2025 Estadio Heraclio Tapia, Huánuco
Our Tip

Match Events

30'
Vega J.
38' Event
Campodonico R.
Assist: Lliuya M.
45' Event
Sernaque J.
Assist: Campodonico R.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 1 2025 game between Alianza Huanuco and Juan Pablo II finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alianza Huanuco.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Alianza Huanuco
39%
Draws
31%
Juan Pablo II
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Alianza Huanuco come out ahead of Juan Pablo II on wins alone.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Liga 1 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Alianza Huanuco Clean Sheet 20%
Juan Pablo II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alianza Huanuco Juan Pablo II
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 9 7
Draws 5 7
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.25 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 23, 2025 Liga 1
Alianza Huanuco vs Juan Pablo II
3:0
Jul 13, 2025 Liga 1
Juan Pablo II vs Alianza Huanuco
1:0
Oct 20, 2024 Liga 2
Alianza Huanuco vs Juan Pablo II
1:0
Jun 23, 2024 Liga 2
Alianza Huanuco vs Juan Pablo II
3:0
Apr 28, 2024 Liga 2
Juan Pablo II vs Alianza Huanuco
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alianza Huanuco Compare

Top Goalscorer Campodonico R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sernaque J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Juan Pablo II Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alianza Huanuco 31 / 100
Juan Pablo II 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alianza Huanuco Juan Pablo II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alianza Huanuco's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Juan Pablo II's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Alianza Huanuco remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Alianza Huanuco VS Juan Pablo II
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Alianza Huanuco

(Home)
24 Jul
Comerciantes FC
1 : 0
Alianza Huanuco
18 Jul
Alianza Huanuco
3 : 2
Ayacucho
26 Jun
Alianza Huanuco
3 : 1
Union Minas
19 Jun
AD Tarma
3 : 1
Alianza Huanuco
14 Jun
Alianza Huanuco
1 : 1
Sport Huancayo
Page 1 of 6

Juan Pablo II

(Away)
25 Jul
Juan Pablo II
2 : 0
Cienciano
17 Jul
FC Cajamarca
2 : 2
Juan Pablo II
27 Jun
Comerciantes Unidos
0 : 0
Juan Pablo II
20 Jun
Juan Pablo II
0 : 0
ADA Jaen
30 May
Deportivo Garcilaso
4 : 1
Juan Pablo II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Universitario de Deportes17124129:1340
2Cusco17113329:1536
3Sporting Cristal1794429:1331
4A. Lima1794430:1931
5Cienciano1783625:2127
6Los Chankas1790821:2827
7Comerciantes Unidos1775520:2126
8FBC Melgar1767424:1725
9Deportivo Garcilaso1767420:2125
10AD Tarma1774619:2025
11Alianza Atl.1765615:1223
12Sport Huancayo1753928:2818
13Alianza Huanuco17521023:3317
14Atletico Grau1744919:2416
15Sport Boys1744914:2516
16Juan Pablo II1735913:2314
17Ayacucho17421116:2914
18Cajamarca17341016:2813
19Binacional00000:00
Promotion - Liga 1 2025 (Play Offs)