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Alianza vs Tauro

Panama Panama

LPF Estadio Javier Cruz, Panama City
Our Tip

Match Events

9'
Rodriguez M.
11' Event
Mendoza A.
17'
Quintero K.

AI Match Summary

The LPF game between Alianza and Tauro finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alianza.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Alianza
20%
Draws
40%
Tauro
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Alianza come out ahead of Tauro on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
Alianza Clean Sheet 68%
Tauro Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alianza Tauro
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 12 6
Draws 12 9
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 1.5 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 25, 2026 LPF
Alianza vs Tauro
2:0
Apr 18, 2026 LPF
Tauro vs Alianza
1:1
Jan 19, 2026 LPF
Alianza vs Tauro
1:1
Oct 11, 2025 LPF
Alianza vs Tauro
2:1
Jul 20, 2025 LPF
Tauro vs Alianza
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alianza Compare

Top Goalscorer Mendoza A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Alvarado J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Tauro Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alianza 41 / 100
Tauro 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alianza Tauro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alianza Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Alianza scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Tauro let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Tauro has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Alianza VS Tauro
1 Goals Scored 0.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Alianza

(Home)
30 Aug
Union Cocle
2 : 2
Alianza
28 Aug
Deportivo Mixco
2 : 0
Alianza
25 Aug
Alianza
2 : 0
Tauro
21 Aug
Alianza
1 : 3
Olimpia
16 Aug
Alianza
2 : 4
Plaza Amador
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Tauro

(Away)
29 Aug
Tauro
2 : 1
Independiente
25 Aug
Alianza
2 : 0
Tauro
18 Aug
Tauro
0 : 1
Arabe Unido
08 Aug
Plaza Amador
3 : 2
Tauro
02 Aug
Tauro
1 : 1
UMECIT
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Plaza Amador 7 5 1 1 19:11 16
2 Arabe Unido 7 3 3 1 7:4 12
3 Alianza 6 2 3 1 7:6 9
4 Sporting San Miguelito 7 2 3 2 5:5 9
5 Tauro 7 2 2 3 7:8 8
6 UMECIT 6 0 4 2 2:6 4
Promotion - LPF (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - LPF (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 San Francisco 6 4 1 1 15:9 13
2 Veraguas 7 2 4 1 11:11 10
3 Union Deportivo Universitario 7 1 4 2 7:8 7
4 Independiente 6 1 3 2 8:7 6
5 Union Cocle 7 1 2 4 5:11 5
6 Herrera 7 1 2 4 6:13 5
Promotion - LPF (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - LPF (Apertura - Play Offs)