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Aljustrelense vs Louletano Prediction & H2H Stats

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group H
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group H game between Aljustrelense and Louletano finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Louletano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Aljustrelense
15%
Draws
64%
Louletano
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Louletano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Louletano carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Louletano's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group H form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Aljustrelense Clean Sheet 16%
Louletano Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aljustrelense Louletano
Matches Played 27 38
Wins 6 23
Draws 4 9
Losses 17 6
Goals Scored 0.67 1.71
Goals Conceded 1.89 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.48
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group H
Aljustrelense vs Louletano
1:2
Dec 19, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group H
Louletano vs Aljustrelense
2:0
Mar 15, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Louletano vs Aljustrelense
0:0
Nov 3, 2019 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Aljustrelense vs Louletano
2:1
Nov 13, 2016 Campeonato de Portugal - Group H
Aljustrelense vs Louletano
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aljustrelense 10 / 100
Louletano 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aljustrelense Louletano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Louletano Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Aljustrelense found the back of the net in 56% of recent matches (27 games).

Louletano has conceded goals in 55% of their last 38 outings.

Solid form: Aljustrelense remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Aljustrelense VS Louletano
0.71 Goals Scored 1.38
1.57 Goals Conceded 1.38
86% Over 1.5 88%
43% Over 2.5 50%
14% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Aljustrelense

(Home)
27 Sept
Aljustrelense
0 : 2
GD Alcochetense
20 Sept
AD Limianos
3 : 0
Aljustrelense
13 Sept
Portel
1 : 1
Aljustrelense
30 Aug
Ferreiras
0 : 3
Aljustrelense
23 Aug
Sintrense
4 : 0
Aljustrelense
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Louletano

(Away)
20 Sept
Serpa
1 : 2
Louletano
12 Sept
Louletano
1 : 2
Santarem
06 Sept
Louletano
1 : 0
Lusitano GC
30 Aug
Castrense
0 : 1
Louletano
23 Aug
Caldas SC
2 : 4
Louletano
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vitoria Setubal 20 15 5 0 49:20 50
2 Amora 20 13 5 2 34:13 44
3 Olhanense 20 10 5 5 27:17 35
4 Louletano 20 8 10 2 30:18 34
5 Moncarapachense 20 6 7 7 22:21 25
6 Pinhalnovense 20 7 4 9 26:30 25
7 Juv. Evora 20 6 6 8 27:36 24
8 Esperanca de Lagos 20 6 5 9 25:26 23
9 Lusitano GC 20 6 5 9 19:23 23
10 Aljustrelense 20 4 2 14 12:41 14
11 Moura AC 20 0 4 16 17:43 4
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2020/2021 (Qualification)